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Taça de Portugal

Varzim

1–0

Full-time

Feirense

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varzim Feirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
2	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Beira-Mar	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Montalegre	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Valadares Gaia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Arronches e Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Praiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Lajense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Oriental Dragon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Gondomar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Pombal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
81	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
82	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
83	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
84	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
85	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
2	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	UD da Serra	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Valadares Gaia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Arronches e Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Lajense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Bragança	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Oriental Dragon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Gondomar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Pombal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
42	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beira-Mar	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Montalegre	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Praiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
41	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
42	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
43	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.