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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Kilmarnock
T T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Aberdeen
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
31%
56%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 41%
44%
38%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 1
4 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 8. · Aberdeen 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 18 16 2 0 +45 50
2 Celtic 15 10 4 1 +23 34
3 Hibernian 18 9 6 3 +12 33
4 Aberdeen 16 9 4 3 +6 31
5 Dundee United 18 5 6 7 -9 21
6 St Mirren 15 5 3 7 -6 18
7 Livingston 17 5 3 9 -7 18
8 Kilmarnock 16 5 2 9 -1 17
9 ST Johnstone 18 4 5 9 -8 17
10 Motherwell 16 4 3 9 -9 15
11 Hamilton 17 4 2 11 -22 14
12 Ross County 18 3 4 11 -24 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,08
U
3,22
B ✓
2,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.