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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Twente
U T S S U
3–0
Full-time
Vitesse
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 41%
67%
14%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
57%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
18 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 5. · Vitesse 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Ajax 8 6 1 1 +17 19
3 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 0 2 +15 18
4 Feyenoord 7 5 1 1 +11 16
5 Twente 6 4 1 1 +8 13
6 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 1 3 +1 10
7 Waalwijk 7 2 3 2 +5 9
8 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 +0 9
9 Utrecht 7 2 3 2 -1 9
10 Excelsior 7 3 0 4 -8 9
11 Nijmegen 7 1 5 1 +2 8
12 Groningen 8 2 2 4 -8 8
13 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 1 5 -5 7
14 Cambuur 8 2 1 5 -6 7
15 Vitesse 7 1 2 4 -9 5
16 Volendam 7 1 2 4 -13 5
17 For Sittard 7 1 1 5 -8 4
18 FC Emmen 7 1 1 5 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Vitesse
1–0 J. Brenet
V. Černý
37′
Half-time 1–0
Robin Pröpper 🟨
49′
52′
🟨 Maximilian Wittek
67′
🔁 N. Frederiksen
↦ M. Wittek
2–0 V. Misidjan
M. Kjølø
74′
C. Tzolis 🔁
↦ V. Černý
75′
S. Steijn 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
75′
81′
🔁 T. Buitink
↦ M. Manhoef
81′
🔁 R. Yapi
↦ B. Białek
82′
🔁 G. Vidović
↦ K. Kozłowski
M. Ugalde 🔁
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
83′
Julio Pleguezuelo 🔁
↦ M. Hilgers
83′
W. Brama 🔁
↦ M. Kjølø
87′
3–0 G. Smal
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
22 P. Tytoń G
20 J. Brenet D
2 M. Hilgers D
3 R. Pröpper D
5 G. Smal D
18 M. Vlap M
8 R. Zerrouki M
21 M. Kjølø M
7 V. Černý F
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
10 V. Misidjan F
Bench (12)
19 C. Tzolis
14 S. Steijn
27 M. Ugalde
4 Julio Pleguezuelo
6 W. Brama
17 A. Salah-Eddine
38 M. Bruns
37 T. van Leeuwen
16 I. El Maach
24 L. Everink
30 S. Karssies
32 C. Staring

Coach: R. Jans

Vitesse

5-3-2
16 K. Scherpen G
2 C. Arcus D
3 R. Flamingo D
20 M. Meulensteen D
13 E. Cornelisse D
32 M. Wittek D
8 S. Tronstad M
21 M. Bero M
17 K. Kozłowski M
42 M. Manhoef F
14 B. Białek F
Bench (12)
11 N. Frederiksen
29 T. Buitink
27 R. Yapi
10 G. Vidović
22 T. Domgjoni
5 Ferro
26 M. Jonathans
33 D. Reiziger
9 M. Sankoh
25 G. de Regt
24 J. Houwen
18 T. Hájek

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,70
U
3,89
B
4,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.