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Eliteserien
Referee: M Grøtta
Valerenga
S S S T S
4–0
Full-time
Stromsgodset
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 46%
52%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
61%
70%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

57% Possession 43%
21 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 5. · Stromsgodset 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 24 19 3 2 +34 60
2 Lillestrom 23 13 5 5 +16 44
3 Rosenborg 23 12 7 4 +18 43
4 Bodo/Glimt 23 12 6 5 +26 42
5 Valerenga 23 12 3 8 +10 39
6 Viking 23 9 6 8 +3 33
7 Odd 23 10 3 10 -8 33
8 Stromsgodset 23 9 5 9 +4 32
9 Tromso 24 7 10 7 -6 31
10 Haugesund 23 8 5 10 -1 29
11 Sarpsborg 08 23 9 1 13 -3 28
12 Aalesund 23 6 7 10 -13 25
13 Ham-Kam 23 4 11 8 -4 23
14 Sandefjord 23 6 4 13 -19 22
15 Kristiansund 23 4 4 15 -21 16
16 Jerv 23 4 2 17 -36 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Stromsgodset
1–0 T. Børven
A. Layouni
17′
2–0 T. Børven
J. Eng
19′
3–0 A. Layouni
J. Eng
30′
36′
🔁 E. Boahene
↦ O. Enersen
37′
🟨 Niklas Gunnarsson
4–0 A. Layouni
F. Jensen
43′
Half-time 4–0
46′
🔁 J. Therkelsen
↦ E. Boahene
46′
🔁 F. Holst-Larsen
↦ N. Gunnarsson
H. Bjørdal 🔁
↦ T. Christensen
61′
M. Riisnæs 🔁
↦ J. Eng
61′
S. Jatta 🔁
↦ A. Layouni
74′
H. Udahl 🔁
↦ T. Børven
74′
80′
🔁 E. Danso
↦ J. Braut Brunes
85′
🟨 Jonas Therkelsen
J. El-Abdellaoui 🔁
↦ P. Strand
87′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
21 M. Sjøeng G
4 J. Nation D
6 V. Hedenstad D
18 S. Juklerød D
7 F. Jensen D
24 P. Strand M
15 O. Holm M
9 T. Børven F
11 A. Layouni F
17 T. Christensen M
27 J. Eng F
Bench (9)
8 H. Bjørdal
20 M. Riisnæs
19 S. Jatta
14 H. Udahl
33 J. El-Abdellaoui
5 L. Zuta
23 Brynjar Bjarnason
16 M. Emilsen
1 S. Rossbach

Coach: D. Fagermo

Stromsgodset

4-2-3-1
1 V. Myhra G
71 G. Valsvik D
4 T. Grøgaard D
5 N. Gunnarsson D
3 S. Hanssen D
7 H. Stenevik M
8 J. Hove M
6 I. Jack M
84 O. Enersen M
9 F. Friday M
19 J. Braut Brunes F
Bench (7)
18 E. Boahene
43 J. Therkelsen
30 F. Holst-Larsen
20 E. Danso
82 E. Blikstad
40 M. Sætra
55 M. Farji

Coach: B. Ingebretsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Grøtta · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.