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Bundesliga

Referee: M Jöllenbeck

Werder Bremen

S T S T U

5–1

Full-time

M'gladbach

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

29%

43%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

3,6

2,1

Scored

1,9

1,4

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 13

9 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 1

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 11. · M'gladbach 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Union Berlin	8	5	2	1	+9	17
2	Freiburg	8	5	2	1	+6	17
3	Bayern Munich	8	4	3	1	+17	15
4	Dortmund	8	5	0	3	+1	15
5	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	2	2	+3	14
6	Hoffenheim	7	4	1	2	+5	13
7	FC Koln	8	3	4	1	+4	13
8	M'gladbach	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	RB Leipzig	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Mainz	8	3	2	3	-4	11
11	Werder Bremen	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Augsburg	7	3	0	4	-5	9
13	Wolfsburg	8	2	2	4	-6	8
14	Hertha	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Schalke 04	7	1	3	3	-6	6
16	Stuttgart	8	0	5	3	-4	5
17	Leverkusen	8	1	2	5	-7	5
18	Bochum	8	0	1	7	-18	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Hoffenheim	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Union Berlin	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	M'gladbach	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Bayern Munich	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	FC Koln	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Freiburg	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Augsburg	4	1	0	3	-6	3
13	Hertha	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Stuttgart	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Mainz	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Werder Bremen	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Leverkusen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Bochum	4	0	1	3	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Freiburg	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Mainz	5	3	0	2	-1	9
3	Werder Bremen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Bayern Munich	4	2	1	1	+11	7
5	Union Berlin	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	FC Koln	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Augsburg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Dortmund	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Hertha	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Leverkusen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	M'gladbach	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Wolfsburg	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Schalke 04	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	RB Leipzig	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Bochum	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.