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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Mallorca
T S U T S
0–1
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,0
3,2
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,7
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

28% Possession 72%
13 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 10. · Barcelona 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 6 6 0 0 +11 18
2 Barcelona 6 5 1 0 +17 16
3 Ath Bilbao 7 5 1 1 +12 16
4 Betis 6 5 0 1 +6 15
5 Ath Madrid 7 4 1 2 +6 13
6 Villarreal 7 3 3 1 +8 12
7 Osasuna 6 4 0 2 +2 12
8 Sociedad 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Valencia 6 3 0 3 +5 9
10 Mallorca 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Girona 6 2 1 3 +0 7
12 Vallecano 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Celta 6 2 1 3 -5 7
14 Getafe 7 2 1 4 -7 7
15 Valladolid 7 2 1 4 -7 7
16 Sevilla 7 1 2 4 -6 5
17 Espanol 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 Almeria 7 1 1 5 -7 4
19 Cadiz 7 1 1 5 -13 4
20 Elche 6 0 1 5 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Barcelona
20′
R. Lewandowski 0–1
Ansu Fati
39′
🟨 Gerard Piqué
39′
🟨 Andreas Christensen
Jaume Costa 🟨
42′
45′
🟨 Franck Kessié
Half-time 0–1
Dani Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Antonio Sánchez
67′
67′
🔁 Raphinha
↦ Ansu Fati
67′
🔁 Pedri
↦ F. Kessie
74′
🟨 Sergio Busquets
B. Cufré 🔁
↦ Jaume Costa
77′
80′
🔁 Ferran Torres
↦ O. Dembélé
80′
🔁 Sergi Roberto
↦ Jordi Alba
Martin Valjent 🟨
83′
L. Junior 🔁
↦ Ruíz de Galarreta
85′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Mallorca

5-4-1
1 P. Rajković G
15 Pablo Maffeo D
24 M. Valjent D
21 Raíllo D
6 Copete D
18 Jaume Costa D
10 Antonio Sánchez M
4 Ruíz de Galarreta M
12 I. Baba M
19 Lee Kang-In M
7 V. Muriqi F
Bench (12)
14 Dani Rodríguez
3 B. Cufré
11 L. Junior
2 M. Nastasić
8 C. Grenier
22 Ángel
16 R. Battaglia
20 G. González
5 F. Russo
9 Abdón Prats
23 A. Ndiaye
31 Leo Román

Coach: J. Aguirre

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
28 Balde D
3 Piqué D
15 A. Christensen D
18 Jordi Alba D
19 F. Kessie M
5 Sergio Busquets M
30 Gavi M
7 O. Dembélé F
9 R. Lewandowski F
10 Ansu Fati F
Bench (10)
22 Raphinha
8 Pedri
11 Ferran Torres
20 Sergi Roberto
36 Arnau Tenas
17 Marcos Alonso
26 Iñaki Peña
29 Marc Casadó
24 Eric García
32 Pablo Torre

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,63
U
5,30
B ✓
1,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.