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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Sevilla

T T S U U

0–2

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

14 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 16. · Ath Madrid 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	0	+11	18
2	Barcelona	6	5	1	0	+17	16
3	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+12	16
4	Betis	6	5	0	1	+6	15
5	Villarreal	7	3	3	1	+8	12
6	Osasuna	6	4	0	2	+2	12
7	Ath Madrid	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	-1	10
9	Valencia	6	3	0	3	+5	9
10	Mallorca	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Girona	6	2	1	3	+0	7
12	Vallecano	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Celta	6	2	1	3	-5	7
14	Getafe	7	2	1	4	-7	7
15	Valladolid	7	2	1	4	-7	7
16	Sevilla	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Espanol	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Almeria	7	1	1	5	-7	4
19	Cadiz	7	1	1	5	-13	4
20	Elche	6	0	1	5	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Valencia	4	3	0	1	+7	9
4	Osasuna	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+7	7
6	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Girona	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+4	4
9	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Ath Madrid	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Almeria	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Valladolid	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Elche	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Cadiz	4	0	1	3	-9	1
20	Espanol	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+4	8
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Getafe	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Cadiz	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Celta	3	1	0	2	-5	3
17	Girona	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Almeria	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Elche	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.