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Süper Lig
Referee: Atilla Karaoglan
Gaziantep
S U U S S
0–4
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 56%
56%
56%
Points per game
1,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,57 xG 2,50
59% Possession 41%
8 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 13
1 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gaziantep 5. · Fenerbahce 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 10 9 1 0 +20 +13.3 28
2 Trabzonspor 10 7 2 1 +10 +0.7 23
3 Fenerbahce 9 5 4 0 +8 +11.7 19
4 Besiktas 10 5 2 3 +4 +10.4 17
5 Gaziantep 9 5 2 2 +1 +1.1 17
6 Goztep 10 4 4 2 +6 +1.0 16
7 Samsunspor 9 4 4 1 +4 +3.8 16
8 Konyaspor 10 4 2 4 +2 -1.6 14
9 Alanyaspor 10 3 4 3 +0 -4.2 13
10 Kocaelispor 10 3 2 5 -4 -2.6 11
11 Buyuksehyr 10 2 4 4 +2 -0.3 10
12 Kasimpasa 10 2 4 4 -3 -4.9 10
13 Antalyaspor 10 3 1 6 -9 -7.2 10
14 Rizespor 9 2 3 4 -3 +2.9 9
15 Genclerbirligi 10 2 2 6 -5 -5.9 8
16 Eyüpspor 10 2 2 6 -7 -3.8 8
17 Kayserispor 10 0 6 4 -14 -7.5 6
18 Karagumruk 10 1 1 8 -12 -6.9 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gaziantep Fenerbahce
5′
Y. En Nesyri 0–1
6′
🟨 Archie Brown
21′
Y. En Nesyri 0–2
M. Asensio
25′
🟨 Edson Álvarez
43′
🟨 Milan Škriniar
Half-time 0–2
D. Sorescu 🔁
↦ L. Perez
46′
47′
🟨 İsmail Yüksek
55′
🔁 Fred
↦ E. Alvarez
55′
🔁 O. Aydin
↦ K. Akturkoglu
61′
🔁 L. Mercan
↦ A. Brown
61′
🔁 S. Szymanski
↦ M. Asensio
Y. Kabadayi 🔁
↦ C. Lungoyi
67′
Deian Sorescu 🟨
72′
72′
🟨 Jayden Oosterwolde
S. Guler 🔁
↦ A. Kizildag
77′
E. Boateng 🔁
↦ K. Kozlowski
77′
78′
🔁 Talisca
↦ Y. En Nesyri
81′
Talisca 0–3
B. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ M. Kabasakal
82′
Myenty Abena ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
85′
Myenty Abena 🟥
86′
Kévin Rodrigues 🟨
87′
88′
Talisca 0–4
N. Semedo
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Gaziantep

4-2-3-1
71 M. Bozan G
2 L. Perez D
4 A. Kizildag D
14 M. Abena D
77 K. Rodrigues D
6 M. Kabasakal M
44 A. Maxim M
10 K. Kozlowski M
3 D. Camara M
11 C. Lungoyi M
9 M. Bayo F
Bench (10)
20 Z. Gorgen
30 N. Sangare
17 S. Guler
38 R. Nizet
5 B. Ndiaye
61 O. Ozcicek
7 J. Bacuna
18 D. Sorescu
21 E. Boateng
32 Y. Kabadayi

Coach: Burak Yılmaz

Fenerbahce

4-1-4-1
31 Ederson G
27 N. Semedo D
37 M. Skriniar D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
3 A. Brown D
11 E. Alvarez M
45 D. Nene M
21 M. Asensio M
5 I. Yuksek M
9 K. Akturkoglu M
19 Y. En Nesyri F
Bench (10)
13 T. Cetin
4 C. Soyuncu
7 Fred
10 J. Duran
18 M. Muldur
22 L. Mercan
50 Rodrigo Becao
53 S. Szymanski
70 O. Aydin
94 Talisca

Coach: Domenico Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,74
U
3,98
B ✓
1,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,10
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Atilla Karaoglan · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.