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Süper Lig

Referee: Umit Ozturk

Kayserispor

U U T U T

1–3

Full-time

Samsunspor

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

38%

Points per game

0,6

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

0,6

1,3

Conceded

2,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,19 xG 2,62

55% Possession 45%

14 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 17. · Samsunspor 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+18	+11.1	25
2	Trabzonspor	9	6	2	1	+8	+0.8	20
3	Goztep	8	4	4	0	+9	+3.4	16
4	Fenerbahce	8	4	4	0	+7	+9.8	16
5	Gaziantep	8	4	2	2	+0	-0.2	14
6	Besiktas	8	4	1	3	+2	+8.0	13
7	Samsunspor	8	3	4	1	+2	+2.4	13
8	Konyaspor	8	3	2	3	+3	-0.9	11
9	Alanyaspor	8	2	4	2	+1	-3.8	10
10	Antalyaspor	8	3	1	4	-4	-4.7	10
11	Kasimpasa	8	2	3	3	-1	-1.2	9
12	Rizespor	8	2	2	4	-3	+3.2	8
13	Genclerbirligi	9	2	2	5	-4	-5.7	8
14	Kocaelispor	9	2	2	5	-6	-3.3	8
15	Buyuksehyr	8	1	3	4	-2	-1.8	6
16	Eyüpspor	8	1	2	5	-7	-6.1	5
17	Kayserispor	8	0	5	3	-12	-5.7	5
18	Karagumruk	8	1	0	7	-11	-5.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	5	3	2	0	+6	+4.8	11
2	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+7	+3.1	10
3	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+5	+9.6	10
4	Besiktas	4	3	0	1	+3	+6.2	9
5	Goztep	4	2	2	0	+4	+1.6	8
6	Samsunspor	5	2	2	1	+1	+3.3	8
7	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+0	+2.3	7
8	Konyaspor	4	2	0	2	+2	+0.8	6
9	Kocaelispor	4	1	2	1	+0	+2.2	5
10	Alanyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.3	4
11	Genclerbirligi	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.7	4
12	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.5	4
13	Eyüpspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.9	4
14	Buyuksehyr	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.8	3
15	Rizespor	4	1	0	3	-4	+3.5	3
16	Kasimpasa	4	0	2	2	-2	+1.2	2
17	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-8	-2.3	2
18	Karagumruk	5	0	0	5	-8	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+11	+8.1	15
2	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+2	-4.0	9
3	Goztep	4	2	2	0	+5	+1.8	8
4	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
5	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.5	7
6	Fenerbahce	4	1	3	0	+2	+0.3	6
7	Alanyaspor	5	1	3	1	+0	-2.5	6
8	Antalyaspor	4	2	0	2	-1	-4.2	6
9	Rizespor	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.3	5
10	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	-1.8	5
11	Samsunspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
12	Besiktas	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.7	4
13	Genclerbirligi	5	1	1	3	-2	-6.4	4
14	Buyuksehyr	4	1	0	3	-1	-1.0	3
15	Karagumruk	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.2	3
16	Kayserispor	4	0	3	1	-4	-3.3	3
17	Kocaelispor	5	1	0	4	-6	-5.5	3
18	Eyüpspor	4	0	1	3	-3	-2.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.