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Süper Lig

Referee: D Tonusluoğlu

Kayserispor

U U S U S

2–6

Full-time

Fenerbahce

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 46%

18%

73%

Points per game

1,1

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

64%

Both score Ø 46%

55%

36%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1,01 xG 3,83

49% Possession 51%

16 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 10

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 15. · Fenerbahce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	10	1	0	+21	+8.3	31
2	Fenerbahce	11	8	2	1	+18	+13.9	26
3	Samsunspor	12	8	1	3	+11	+6.4	25
4	Eyüpspor	13	6	4	3	+6	+0.4	22
5	Besiktas	11	6	3	2	+9	+7.8	21
6	Goztep	11	5	3	3	+6	+2.9	18
7	Sivasspor	12	5	2	5	-3	-9.9	17
8	Buyuksehyr	11	4	4	3	+3	+2.2	16
9	Rizespor	12	5	1	6	-8	-0.8	16
10	Kasimpasa	12	3	5	4	-3	+0.8	14
11	Konyaspor	12	4	2	6	-6	-3.7	14
12	Antalyaspor	12	4	2	6	-9	-8.3	14
13	Trabzonspor	11	2	6	3	-2	-2.8	12
14	Gaziantep	11	3	3	5	-3	-3.6	12
15	Kayserispor	11	2	6	3	-5	-3.5	12
16	Bodrumspor	12	3	2	7	-6	-1.4	11
17	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-5	+0.8	10
18	Hatayspor	11	1	3	7	-8	-5.3	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	11	0	2	9	-16	-4.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+11	+9.2	19
2	Goztep	6	5	1	0	+9	+2.9	16
3	Eyüpspor	6	4	1	1	+6	+1.3	13
4	Fenerbahce	5	4	0	1	+8	+8.5	12
5	Besiktas	5	4	0	1	+5	+6.2	12
6	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	+2	+3.8	10
7	Sivasspor	6	3	1	2	+1	-3.7	10
8	Antalyaspor	6	3	1	2	-2	-3.0	10
9	Buyuksehyr	5	2	3	0	+5	+2.1	9
10	Gaziantep	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.6	8
11	Trabzonspor	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.6	8
12	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
13	Bodrumspor	6	2	1	3	+1	+0.9	7
14	Rizespor	6	2	1	3	-4	-0.2	7
15	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-1	+1.2	6
16	Hatayspor	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.3	5
17	Kayserispor	5	0	3	2	-4	-1.1	3
18	Kasimpasa	7	0	3	4	-7	+0.1	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	6	0	0	6	-12	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Samsunspor	6	5	0	1	+9	+2.6	15
2	Fenerbahce	6	4	2	0	+10	+5.4	14
3	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+10	-0.9	12
4	Kasimpasa	5	3	2	0	+4	+0.6	11
5	Besiktas	6	2	3	1	+4	+1.6	9
6	Eyüpspor	7	2	3	2	+0	-1.0	9
7	Kayserispor	6	2	3	1	-1	-2.3	9
8	Rizespor	6	3	0	3	-4	-0.6	9
9	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	-2	+0.1	7
10	Sivasspor	6	2	1	3	-4	-6.2	7
11	Konyaspor	7	2	0	5	-7	-4.6	6
12	Trabzonspor	6	0	4	2	-3	-2.2	4
13	Alanyaspor	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.4	4
14	Gaziantep	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.0	4
15	Antalyaspor	6	1	1	4	-7	-5.3	4
16	Bodrumspor	6	1	1	4	-7	-2.4	4
17	Goztep	5	0	2	3	-3	-0.0	2
18	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	2	3	-4	-2.8	2
19	Hatayspor	5	0	1	4	-5	-4.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.