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Süper Lig

Referee: Kadir Saglam

Kayserispor

T U T T U

3–2

Full-time

Kasimpasa

U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

1,8

Scored

0,8

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

50%

30%

Both score Ø 65%

70%

60%

Average goals

3,0

2,1

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,45 xG 0,39

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 6

4 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 17. · Kasimpasa 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	9	2	0	+20	+14.4	29
2	Trabzonspor	11	7	3	1	+10	-0.3	24
3	Fenerbahce	10	6	4	0	+12	+13.7	22
4	Samsunspor	11	5	5	1	+6	+5.7	20
5	Goztep	11	5	4	2	+7	+1.6	19
6	Besiktas	10	5	2	3	+4	+10.4	17
7	Gaziantep	10	5	2	3	-3	-0.8	17
8	Konyaspor	11	4	2	5	+0	-2.0	14
9	Buyuksehyr	11	3	4	4	+3	+0.4	13
10	Alanyaspor	10	3	4	3	+0	-4.2	13
11	Kocaelispor	11	3	2	6	-5	-3.3	11
12	Rizespor	10	2	4	4	-3	+1.4	10
13	Kasimpasa	10	2	4	4	-3	-4.9	10
14	Antalyaspor	10	3	1	6	-9	-7.2	10
15	Genclerbirligi	11	2	2	7	-6	-6.5	8
16	Eyüpspor	10	2	2	6	-7	-3.8	8
17	Kayserispor	10	0	6	4	-14	-7.5	6
18	Karagumruk	10	1	1	8	-12	-6.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	4	2	0	+9	+6.3	14
2	Trabzonspor	6	4	2	0	+8	+4.7	14
3	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+6	+11.4	13
4	Goztep	5	3	2	0	+5	+2.2	11
5	Gaziantep	6	3	1	2	-3	+1.7	10
6	Besiktas	4	3	0	1	+3	+6.2	9
7	Samsunspor	6	2	3	1	+1	+4.7	9
8	Kocaelispor	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.9	8
9	Alanyaspor	4	2	1	1	+2	-1.1	7
10	Eyüpspor	5	2	1	2	-2	-1.7	7
11	Buyuksehyr	5	1	3	1	+0	-0.2	6
12	Konyaspor	6	2	0	4	-2	-0.5	6
13	Genclerbirligi	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.5	4
14	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-4	+3.2	4
15	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-7	-1.7	4
16	Kasimpasa	5	0	3	2	-2	-0.3	3
17	Kayserispor	5	0	2	3	-10	-3.8	2
18	Karagumruk	6	0	1	5	-8	-1.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+11	+8.1	15
2	Samsunspor	5	3	2	0	+5	+0.9	11
3	Trabzonspor	5	3	1	1	+2	-5.0	10
4	Fenerbahce	5	2	3	0	+6	+2.2	9
5	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	-1.5	8
6	Goztep	6	2	2	2	+2	-0.7	8
7	Besiktas	6	2	2	2	+1	+4.1	8
8	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	+3	+0.5	7
9	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.5	7
10	Kasimpasa	5	2	1	2	-1	-4.6	7
11	Rizespor	5	1	3	1	+1	-1.8	6
12	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-2	-3.2	6
13	Antalyaspor	5	2	0	3	-2	-5.5	6
14	Genclerbirligi	6	1	1	4	-3	-7.0	4
15	Kayserispor	5	0	4	1	-4	-3.7	4
16	Karagumruk	4	1	0	3	-4	-5.0	3
17	Kocaelispor	6	1	0	5	-7	-6.1	3
18	Eyüpspor	5	0	1	4	-5	-2.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.