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Süper Lig

Referee: O Çakır

Fenerbahce

S U S S S

3–3

Full-time

Kayserispor

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 54%

76%

31%

Points per game

2,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

69%

48%

Both score Ø 50%

55%

45%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,6

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,72 xG 1,30

72% Possession 28%

27 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

12 Corners 0

2 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 2. · Kayserispor 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	30	24	5	1	+44	+30.1	77
2	Fenerbahce	29	22	5	2	+47	+37.0	71
3	Samsunspor	30	15	6	9	+9	+6.1	51
4	Eyüpspor	31	14	8	9	+15	+3.3	50
5	Besiktas	30	13	10	7	+12	+17.4	49
6	Buyuksehyr	30	14	6	10	+10	+5.2	48
7	Trabzonspor	30	11	9	10	+12	-0.1	42
8	Gaziantep	30	12	6	12	+0	-8.4	42
9	Kasimpasa	31	10	12	9	-2	+0.8	42
10	Goztep	30	10	10	10	+9	+16.8	40
11	Konyaspor	31	11	7	13	-5	-6.8	40
12	Antalyaspor	30	11	7	12	-19	-13.7	40
13	Rizespor	30	11	4	15	-13	+4.2	37
14	Kayserispor	29	9	9	11	-11	-0.8	36
15	Bodrumspor	31	9	7	15	-12	-7.0	34
16	Alanyaspor	29	8	7	14	-11	-2.1	31
17	Sivasspor	31	8	7	16	-12	-16.8	31
18	Hatayspor	30	4	7	19	-25	-27.6	19
19	Ad. Demirspor	30	2	4	24	-48	-37.7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	12	3	0	+23	+22.9	39
2	Fenerbahce	14	12	1	1	+23	+19.1	37
3	Gaziantep	15	10	3	2	+13	+2.9	33
4	Goztep	15	9	5	1	+19	+18.0	32
5	Trabzonspor	15	9	4	2	+19	+6.3	31
6	Buyuksehyr	16	9	4	3	+15	+8.0	31
7	Eyüpspor	15	9	3	3	+16	+7.0	30
8	Antalyaspor	15	9	3	3	+2	-0.5	30
9	Besiktas	15	9	2	4	+6	+11.6	29
10	Samsunspor	15	8	2	5	+6	+10.3	26
11	Konyaspor	15	7	5	3	+5	+2.4	26
12	Sivasspor	16	6	5	5	+5	-4.3	23
13	Rizespor	15	6	4	5	+0	+11.0	22
14	Kayserispor	15	6	4	5	-1	+2.9	22
15	Alanyaspor	14	6	3	5	+2	+6.4	21
16	Kasimpasa	15	5	6	4	+0	+4.3	21
17	Bodrumspor	15	5	4	6	+1	-0.8	19
18	Hatayspor	16	3	5	8	-7	-9.6	14
19	Ad. Demirspor	15	1	2	12	-22	-13.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	12	2	1	+21	+7.2	38
2	Fenerbahce	15	10	4	1	+24	+17.9	34
3	Samsunspor	15	7	4	4	+3	-4.2	25
4	Kasimpasa	16	5	6	5	-2	-3.6	21
5	Besiktas	15	4	8	3	+6	+5.8	20
6	Eyüpspor	16	5	5	6	-1	-3.7	20
7	Buyuksehyr	14	5	2	7	-5	-2.8	17
8	Rizespor	15	5	0	10	-13	-6.7	15
9	Bodrumspor	16	4	3	9	-13	-6.2	15
10	Konyaspor	16	4	2	10	-10	-9.2	14
11	Kayserispor	14	3	5	6	-10	-3.7	14
12	Trabzonspor	15	2	5	8	-7	-6.4	11
13	Alanyaspor	15	2	4	9	-13	-8.5	10
14	Antalyaspor	15	2	4	9	-21	-13.2	10
15	Gaziantep	15	2	3	10	-13	-11.3	9
16	Goztep	15	1	5	9	-10	-1.3	8
17	Sivasspor	15	2	2	11	-17	-12.5	8
18	Hatayspor	14	1	2	11	-18	-18.1	5
19	Ad. Demirspor	15	1	2	12	-26	-24.1	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.