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Süper Lig

Referee: Ali Sansalan

Fenerbahce

U T S S U

2–1

Full-time

Karagumruk

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

50%

13%

Points per game

2,0

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

50%

38%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

0,6

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,72 xG 0,84

58% Possession 42%

21 Shots 16

8 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 6

4 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Fenerbahce 5. · Karagumruk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+18	+11.1	25
2	Trabzonspor	9	6	2	1	+8	+0.8	20
3	Gaziantep	9	5	2	2	+1	+1.1	17
4	Goztep	9	4	4	1	+8	+3.2	16
5	Fenerbahce	8	4	4	0	+7	+9.8	16
6	Samsunspor	9	4	4	1	+4	+3.8	16
7	Besiktas	8	4	1	3	+2	+8.0	13
8	Alanyaspor	9	3	4	2	+2	-3.6	13
9	Konyaspor	8	3	2	3	+3	-0.9	11
10	Antalyaspor	9	3	1	5	-5	-6.0	10
11	Kasimpasa	8	2	3	3	-1	-1.2	9
12	Rizespor	8	2	2	4	-3	+3.2	8
13	Genclerbirligi	9	2	2	5	-4	-5.7	8
14	Kocaelispor	9	2	2	5	-6	-3.3	8
15	Buyuksehyr	8	1	3	4	-2	-1.8	6
16	Eyüpspor	8	1	2	5	-7	-6.1	5
17	Kayserispor	9	0	5	4	-14	-7.1	5
18	Karagumruk	8	1	0	7	-11	-5.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	5	3	2	0	+6	+4.8	11
2	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+7	+3.1	10
3	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+5	+9.6	10
4	Gaziantep	5	3	1	1	+1	+3.7	10
5	Besiktas	4	3	0	1	+3	+6.2	9
6	Goztep	4	2	2	0	+4	+1.6	8
7	Samsunspor	5	2	2	1	+1	+3.3	8
8	Alanyaspor	4	2	1	1	+2	-1.1	7
9	Konyaspor	4	2	0	2	+2	+0.8	6
10	Kocaelispor	4	1	2	1	+0	+2.2	5
11	Genclerbirligi	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.7	4
12	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.5	4
13	Eyüpspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.9	4
14	Buyuksehyr	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.8	3
15	Rizespor	4	1	0	3	-4	+3.5	3
16	Kasimpasa	4	0	2	2	-2	+1.2	2
17	Kayserispor	5	0	2	3	-10	-3.8	2
18	Karagumruk	5	0	0	5	-8	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+11	+8.1	15
2	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+2	-4.0	9
3	Goztep	5	2	2	1	+4	+1.6	8
4	Samsunspor	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.5	8
5	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
6	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.5	7
7	Fenerbahce	4	1	3	0	+2	+0.3	6
8	Alanyaspor	5	1	3	1	+0	-2.5	6
9	Antalyaspor	5	2	0	3	-2	-5.5	6
10	Rizespor	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.3	5
11	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	-1.8	5
12	Besiktas	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.7	4
13	Genclerbirligi	5	1	1	3	-2	-6.4	4
14	Buyuksehyr	4	1	0	3	-1	-1.0	3
15	Karagumruk	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.2	3
16	Kayserispor	4	0	3	1	-4	-3.3	3
17	Kocaelispor	5	1	0	4	-6	-5.5	3
18	Eyüpspor	4	0	1	3	-3	-2.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.