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Premiership

Referee: Duncan Nicolson

Kilmarnock

T T T U S

1–1

Full-time

Hearts

U S S S T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%

4 Shots 17

0 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 6

13 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 12. · Hearts 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	6	6	0	0	+11	+12.2	18
2	Rangers	6	4	1	1	+3	+2.3	13
3	Hearts	6	4	0	2	+6	+1.3	12
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	+2	-2.2	10
5	St Mirren	7	3	1	3	-1	+0.8	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	-1	+0.2	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	-1	-3.5	8
8	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	-2	+2.4	8
9	Dundee United	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.3	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	-3	+1.2	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	-3	-4.4	6
12	Kilmarnock	6	1	1	4	-9	-8.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	3	3	0	0	+6	+3.5	9
2	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+5	+6.2	9
3	Dundee	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.8	7
4	ST Johnstone	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.9	7
5	Rangers	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
6	Aberdeen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.2	4
7	Motherwell	3	1	1	1	-1	+2.4	4
8	St Mirren	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.8	4
9	Falkirk	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.6	3
10	Dundee United	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.3	2
11	Hibernian	4	0	1	3	-4	+0.6	1
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	-9	-7.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+6	+6.0	9
2	Rangers	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
3	St Mirren	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.6	6
4	Hibernian	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.6	6
5	Dundee United	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.0	6
6	Kilmarnock	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
7	Motherwell	4	1	1	2	-1	+0.0	4
8	Aberdeen	4	1	1	2	-1	-3.3	4
9	Hearts	3	1	0	2	+0	-2.2	3
10	Dundee	3	1	0	2	+0	-3.0	3
11	Falkirk	4	0	3	1	-1	-2.8	3
12	ST Johnstone	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.