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Premiership
Referee: R Lee
Kilmarnock
S S S S T
1–5
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
2,7
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
7,0
1,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
4,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,86 xG 5,64
36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 33
6 Shots on target 16
2 Blocked shots 7
11 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 9. · Celtic 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St Mirren 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.2 6
2 Dundee 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.6 3
3 Motherwell 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
4 Celtic 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.1 3
5 ST Johnstone 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.9 3
6 Aberdeen 2 1 0 1 -1 -0.2 3
7 Dundee United 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
8 Rangers 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
9 Kilmarnock 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.1 0
10 Hibernian 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
11 Hearts 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.3 0
12 Falkirk 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock Celtic
2′
K. Hogh 0–1
A. Engels
Joe Hugill 🟨
26′
33′
K. Hogh 0–2
B. Nygren
35′
K. Hogh 0–3
C. Duran
Half-time 0–3
46′
🔁 C. Donovan
↦ A. Johnston
47′
B. Nygren 0–4
1–4 M. Schjonning-Larsen
T. Lowery
56′
64′
🔁 S. Tounekti
↦ C. Duran
M. O'Hara 🔁
↦ M. Schjonning-Larsen
74′
74′
🔁 J. Forrest
↦ B. Nygren
74′
🔁 L. McCowan
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
B. Rice 🔁
↦ T. John-Jules
75′
75′
L. McCowan 1–5
82′
🔁 C. Osmand
↦ K. Hogh
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-3-1-2
1 M. Stryjek G
2 J. Brandon D
14 G. Stanger D
15 J. Yfeko D
21 M. Schjonning-Larsen D
8 E. Ring M
36 A. Tshibola M
18 T. Lowery M
11 G. Kiltie M
9 J. Hugill F
10 T. John-Jules F
Bench (9)
12 C. Ferrie
7 R. McKenzie
20 N. Clescenco
27 I. Owen
5 M. O'Hara
22 J. Thomson
49 B. Rice
25 E. Schilte-Brown
39 E. Bowie

Coach: Neil McCann

Celtic

4-2-3-1
1 V. Sinisalo G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
6 A. Trusty D
63 K. Tierney D
42 C. McGregor M
27 A. Engels M
11 C. Duran M
8 B. Nygren M
13 Yang Hyun-Jun M
9 K. Hogh F
Bench (9)
31 R. Doohan
49 J. Forrest
17 S. Tounekti
21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
41 R. Hatate
14 L. McCowan
47 D. Murray
19 C. Osmand
51 C. Donovan

Coach: Martin O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,55
U
4,98
B ✓
1,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,42
U2,5
2,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Lee · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.