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Premiership

Referee: D Robertson

Hibernian

S U U T S

1–3

Full-time

Hearts

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,70 xG 0,82

50% Possession 50%

17 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hibernian 7. · Hearts 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	4	4	0	0	+9	+11.0	12
2	St Mirren	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.0	10
3	Motherwell	4	2	2	0	+4	+2.4	8
4	Dundee	5	2	1	2	+2	-0.9	7
5	Rangers	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.3	7
6	Hearts	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.8	6
7	Hibernian	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.1	6
8	ST Johnstone	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.6	4
9	Dundee United	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.3	4
10	Aberdeen	4	1	0	3	-5	-3.4	3
11	Falkirk	4	0	1	3	-4	-4.4	1
12	Kilmarnock	4	0	0	4	-10	-9.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+5	+6.2	9
2	Hearts	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.1	6
3	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.4	4
4	Dundee	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
5	St Mirren	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
6	ST Johnstone	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
7	Aberdeen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
8	Dundee United	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.3	1
9	Hibernian	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Rangers	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
11	Falkirk	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.6	0
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	-9	-7.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
2	St Mirren	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.6	6
3	Hibernian	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.3	6
4	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.0	4
5	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+4	+4.8	3
6	Dundee	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.6	3
7	Dundee United	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.0	3
8	Falkirk	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.8	1
9	ST Johnstone	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.7	1
10	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
11	Hearts	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
12	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.