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Ligue 2

Referee: Jeremy Stinat

Metz

U S U U U

4–1

Full-time

Rodez

U S T S U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Rodez

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,7

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

1,8

4,3

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

57% Possession 43%

19 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 8. · Rodez 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Annecy	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	Reims	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Montpellier	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Red Star	5	2	2	1	-1	8
6	Rodez	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Nancy	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Metz	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Sochaux	5	1	3	1	-2	6
10	Dunkerque	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Pau FC	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Guingamp	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Boulogne	5	0	4	1	-1	4
14	Clermont	5	0	4	1	-2	4
15	Grenoble	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Laval	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Dijon	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Nantes	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Reims	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Rodez	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Annecy	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Metz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Nancy	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Boulogne	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Clermont	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Sochaux	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Laval	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Montpellier	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Grenoble	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Pau FC	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Red Star	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Nantes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Annecy	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Reims	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Nancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Rodez	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Dijon	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Sochaux	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Grenoble	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Metz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Boulogne	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Dunkerque	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Clermont	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Laval	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.