Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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St Etienne
Metz
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | +48 | +28.9 | 76 |
| 2 |
Monaco
|
34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | +26 | +12.6 | 67 |
| 3 |
Brest
|
34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | +19 | +9.1 | 61 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +18 | +13.0 | 59 |
| 5 |
Nice
|
34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | +11 | +14.7 | 55 |
| 6 |
Lyon
|
34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | -6 | -2.6 | 53 |
| 7 |
Lens
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +8 | +6.8 | 51 |
| 8 |
Marseille
|
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +11 | +20.0 | 50 |
| 9 |
Reims
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -5 | -1.6 | 47 |
| 10 |
Rennes
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | +7 | +12.4 | 46 |
| 11 |
Toulouse
|
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -4 | -7.6 | 43 |
| 12 |
Montpellier
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | -5 | -4.7 | 42 |
| 13 |
Strasbourg
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 | -4.4 | 39 |
| 14 |
Nantes
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | -25 | -15.6 | 33 |
| 15 |
Le Havre
|
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -11 | -13.3 | 32 |
| 16 |
Lorient
|
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -23 | -17.5 | 29 |
| 17 |
Metz
|
34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | -23 | -21.9 | 29 |
| 18 |
Clermont
|
34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -34 | -28.2 | 25 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Larsonneur
G
Y. Maçon
D
L. Pétrot
D
A. Moueffek
M
F. Tardieu
M
I. Cardona
F
M. Cafaro
F
Coach: O. Dall’Oglio
M. Colin
D
S. Sané
D
M. Udol
D
L. Camara
M
G. Mikautadze
F
P. Diallo
F
Coach: L. Bölöni
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
St Etienne
Rodez
Quevilly Rouen
St Etienne
St Etienne
Rodez
Guingamp
St Etienne
St Etienne
Caen
B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.