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Ligue 2

Referee: Ahmed Taleb

Nantes

T S T T T

2–5

Full-time

Rodez

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Rodez

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 18. · Rodez 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Montpellier	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Annecy	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Red Star	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Metz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Nancy	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Sochaux	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Rodez	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Laval	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Pau FC	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Reims	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Dijon	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Boulogne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Clermont	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Grenoble	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Nantes	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Rodez	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Dunkerque	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Metz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Laval	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sochaux	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Clermont	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Boulogne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Pau FC	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Montpellier	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Nancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Dijon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sochaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Boulogne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Grenoble	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Clermont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Laval	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.