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Ligue 2
Nantes
T T T T U
1–0
Full-time
Nancy
S U T S S
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Nancy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
75%
0%
Both score Ø 38%
75%
0%
Average goals
4,3
1,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nantes 18. · Nancy 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 5 5 0 0 +12 15
2 Annecy 5 3 1 1 +2 10
3 Reims 5 2 3 0 +5 9
4 Metz 5 2 3 0 +4 9
5 Montpellier 5 2 2 1 +0 8
6 Red Star 5 2 2 1 -1 8
7 Nancy 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Rodez 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Sochaux 5 1 3 1 -2 6
10 Dunkerque 5 1 2 2 -1 5
11 Guingamp 5 1 2 2 -1 5
12 Pau FC 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Boulogne 5 0 4 1 -1 4
14 Clermont 5 0 4 1 -2 4
15 Grenoble 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Laval 5 1 1 3 -5 4
17 Dijon 5 0 3 2 -2 3
18 Nantes 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Nancy
Frédéric Guilbert 🟨
12′
Grégory Poirier 🟨
20′
32′
🟥 Elydjah Mendy
32′
🟨 Kouroufia Kebe
38′
🟨 Pape Meissa Ba
38′
🔁 Logan Ndenbe
↦ Nordine Kandil
Fode Doucoure 🔁
↦ Frédéric Guilbert
45′
45′
🔁 Mamadou Fofana
↦ Pape Meissa Ba
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Thomas Robinet
Ryad Hachem
46′
Wilitty Younoussa 🟨
50′
Balthazar Pierret 🔁
↦ Wilitty Younoussa
52′
64′
🟨 Mamadou Fofana
70′
🔁 Noam Obougou
↦ Zakaria Fdaouch
70′
🔁 El Hadari Raheriniaina
↦ Mamadou Fofana
Antoine Joujou 🔁
↦ Dehmaine Tabibou
70′
Igniatius Ganago 🔁
↦ Mathieu Cafaro
71′
Ibrahima Sissoko 🔁
↦ Ryad Hachem
84′
87′
🔁 Adrian Dabasse
↦ Enzo Tacafred
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Nantes

4-1-4-1
1 M. Dupé G
24 F. Guilbert D
5 L. Perrin D
4 S. Sow D
98 K. Amian D
26 R. Hachem M
17 D. Assoumani M
23 W. Younoussa M
8 J. Lepenant M
20 M. Cafaro M
27 T. Robinet F
Bench (9)
28 I. Sissoko
40 Yanel Zézé
75 A. Cherni
13 F. Doucouré
7 A. Joujou
37 I. Ganago
19 Louis Leroux
44 B. Pierret
78 T. Tati

Coach: Grégory Poirier

Nancy

4-4-2
1 E. Basilio G
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz D
77 Y. Nahounou D
21 E. Mendy D
44 E. Tacafred D
70 N. Kandil M
6 K. Kebe M
8 W. Bouabdelli M
7 Z. Fdaouch M
9 I. Housni F
5 P. Meïssa Ba F
Bench (9)
45 C. El Hansar
17 Mamadou Fofana II
30 G. Lembet
22 L. Ndenbe
29 N. Obougoujacquet
12 El Hadari
14 N. Saint-Ruf
10 A. Dabasse
2 H. Tavares

Coach: O. Tanchot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,41
B
3,75
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,28
U1,5 ✓
3,60
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,86
O3,5
3,25
U3,5 ✓
1,33
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,73
BLS nei ✓
2,00

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.