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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Widzew Lodz

T S U T U

2–1

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 37%

30%

43%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

52%

70%

Both score Ø 61%

52%

70%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,86 xG 1,02

29% Possession 71%

11 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Widzew Lodz 17. · Lech Poznan 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zaglebie	24	11	8	5	+12	-1.6	41
2	Jagiellonia	23	10	8	5	+10	-2.0	38
3	Lech Poznan	23	10	8	5	+6	+16.0	38
4	Lechia Gdansk	24	10	6	8	+4	+3.2	36
5	Gornik Zabrze	23	10	4	9	+2	-4.0	34
6	Rakow	23	10	4	9	+2	+5.1	34
7	Cracovia	23	8	9	6	+4	+3.1	33
8	Wisla Plock	23	8	9	6	+4	+1.9	33
9	Korona Kielce	24	9	6	9	+2	-4.0	33
10	Radomiak Radom	23	8	8	7	+5	+0.7	32
11	Pogon Szczecin	23	9	4	10	-2	+10.2	31
12	GKS Katowice	22	9	3	10	-1	-6.6	30
13	Motor Lublin	23	7	9	7	-5	-6.6	30
14	Piast Gliwice	24	8	5	11	-4	-6.5	29
15	Arka Gdynia	23	7	5	11	-19	-8.1	26
16	Legia	23	5	10	8	-2	-0.1	25
17	Widzew Lodz	23	7	3	13	-4	+5.0	24
18	Nieciecza	24	5	7	12	-14	-5.9	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arka Gdynia	12	7	4	1	+5	-3.6	25
2	Wisla Plock	12	7	3	2	+8	+3.6	24
3	Radomiak Radom	11	7	2	2	+15	+7.2	23
4	Zaglebie	12	6	5	1	+13	+3.2	23
5	Pogon Szczecin	12	7	2	3	+8	+9.0	23
6	Gornik Zabrze	12	7	1	4	+9	+2.5	22
7	Lechia Gdansk	12	6	3	3	+10	+3.8	21
8	Jagiellonia	10	6	2	2	+10	+2.9	20
9	GKS Katowice	12	6	2	4	+3	-1.7	20
10	Lech Poznan	12	5	4	3	+3	+10.8	19
11	Motor Lublin	12	4	6	2	+3	+1.1	18
12	Cracovia	11	4	5	2	+4	+5.7	17
13	Korona Kielce	12	5	2	5	+2	+0.8	17
14	Legia	11	4	4	3	+4	+1.3	16
15	Widzew Lodz	11	4	3	4	+1	+3.0	15
16	Rakow	11	4	3	4	+0	+2.4	15
17	Piast Gliwice	12	4	3	5	-1	-0.1	15
18	Nieciecza	12	2	4	6	-8	-3.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	11	5	4	2	+3	+5.2	19
2	Rakow	12	6	1	5	+2	+2.7	19
3	Jagiellonia	13	4	6	3	+0	-4.8	18
4	Zaglebie	12	5	3	4	-1	-4.7	18
5	Cracovia	12	4	4	4	+0	-2.6	16
6	Korona Kielce	12	4	4	4	+0	-4.9	16
7	Lechia Gdansk	12	4	3	5	-6	-0.6	15
8	Piast Gliwice	12	4	2	6	-3	-6.4	14
9	Nieciecza	12	3	3	6	-6	-2.8	12
10	Gornik Zabrze	11	3	3	5	-7	-6.5	12
11	Motor Lublin	11	3	3	5	-8	-7.7	12
12	GKS Katowice	10	3	1	6	-4	-4.9	10
13	Wisla Plock	11	1	6	4	-4	-1.6	9
14	Widzew Lodz	12	3	0	9	-5	+2.0	9
15	Legia	12	1	6	5	-6	-1.4	9
16	Radomiak Radom	12	1	6	5	-10	-6.5	9
17	Pogon Szczecin	11	2	2	7	-10	+1.1	8
18	Arka Gdynia	11	0	1	10	-24	-4.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.