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Europa League
Referee: Sebastian Gishamer
Lech Poznan
T S S S S
7–0
Full-time
Thun
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Thun
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,8
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,7
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–0

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lech Poznan Thun
1–0 P. Walemark
10′
2–0 A. Sayyadmanesh
P. Rodriguez
20′
3–0 P. Walemark
M. Gurgul
25′
4–0 M. Skrzypczak
A. Kozubal
31′
D. Hakans 🔁
↦ P. Walemark
37′
5–0 R. Murawski
P. Rodriguez
45′
Half-time 5–0
46′
🔁 F. Dursun
↦ M. Gutbub
46′
🔁 T. Strannegard
↦ M. Heule
46′
🔁 F. Saiz
↦ N. Zoukit
6–0 D. Hakans
A. Sayyadmanesh
47′
50′
🟨 Nils Reichmuth
56′
🔁 N. Burgy
↦ N. Reichmuth
R. Gumny 🔁
↦ P. Rodriguez
64′
G. Berggren 🔁
↦ L. Palma
64′
66′
ℹ️ Furkan Dursun
VAR: Goal cancelled
70′
🟨 Tom Strannegård
7–0 R. Gumny
M. Gurgul
79′
K. Delikat 🔁
↦ A. Kozubal
80′
W. Szymczak 🔁
↦ A. Sayyadmanesh
80′
82′
🔁 L. Dahler
↦ B. Labeau
Radosław Murawski 🟨
87′
Full-time 7–0

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
1 M. Lis G
2 J. Pereira D
27 W. Monka D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
15 M. Gurgul D
43 A. Kozubal M
22 R. Murawski M
10 P. Walemark M
21 P. Rodriguez M
77 L. Palma M
17 A. Sayyadmanesh M
Bench (10)
41 B. Mrozek
35 M. Pruchniewski
59 T. Yegbe
20 R. Gumny
3 A. Douglas
5 G. Berggren
53 K. Delikat
7 Y. Agnero
56 W. Szymczak
11 D. Hakans

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Thun

4-4-2
1 N. Steffen G
47 F. Fehr D
19 J. Bamert D
23 M. Burki D
27 M. Heule D
70 N. Reichmuth M
16 J. Roth M
13 N. Zoukit M
78 V. Matoshi M
33 M. Gutbub F
96 B. Labeau F
Bench (12)
25 T. Spycher
22 D. Walti
5 N. Burgy
17 A. Balaruban
37 L. Dahler
18 T. Strannegard
8 F. Saiz
21 D. Derbaci
80 S. Lengen
30 N. Maier
9 F. Dursun
20 R. Braschi

Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.