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Europa League
Referee: Halil Umut Meler
Thun
T S T T T
2–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
5,3
3,7
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
3,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
5,0
4,3
Scored
1,7
4,3
Conceded
3,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+4,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 Lech Poznan – Thun 7–0

Match report

Thun Lech Poznan
17′
⚽ R. Gumny 0–1
L. Palma
1–1 S. Lengen ⚽
F. Dursun
22′
26′
🔁 P. Walemark
↦ D. Hakans
Nico Maier 🟨
32′
40′
🟨 Gustav Berggren
2–1 F. Dursun ⚽
N. Maier
43′
Half-time 2–1
F. Fehr 🔁
↦ T. Strannegard
46′
J. Roth 🔁
↦ F. Saiz
46′
46′
🔁 R. Murawski
↦ A. Kozubal
53′
🟨 Patrik Wålemark
A. Ilic 🔁
↦ N. Maier
56′
R. Braschi 🔁
↦ F. Dursun
61′
67′
🔁 P. Rodriguez
↦ A. Sayyadmanesh
68′
⚽ P. Walemark 2–2
M. Lis
N. Reichmuth 🔁
↦ S. Lengen
73′
Louis Passavant  🟨
75′
80′
🔁 T. Yegbe
↦ W. Monka
80′
🔁 F. Jagiello
↦ Y. Agnero
91′
🟨 Mateusz Skrzypczak
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Thun

4-4-2
25 T. Spycher G
37 L. Dahler D
54 L. Passavant D
23 M. Burki D
18 T. Strannegard D
30 N. Maier F
8 F. Saiz M
13 N. Zoukit M
21 D. Derbaci M
80 S. Lengen F
9 F. Dursun F
Bench (11)
1 N. Steffen
22 D. Walti
5 N. Burgy
19 J. Bamert
47 F. Fehr
16 J. Roth
70 N. Reichmuth
52 A. Ilic
58 A. Maaroufi
96 B. Labeau
20 R. Braschi

Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
1 M. Lis G
20 R. Gumny D
27 W. Monka D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
15 M. Gurgul D
43 A. Kozubal M
5 G. Berggren M
17 A. Sayyadmanesh M
77 L. Palma M
11 D. Hakans M
7 Y. Agnero F
Bench (10)
35 M. Pruchniewski
31 W. Obremski
59 T. Yegbe
2 J. Pereira
22 R. Murawski
53 K. Delikat
24 F. Jagiello
10 P. Walemark
56 W. Szymczak
21 P. Rodriguez

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Halil Umut Meler · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.