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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Karol Arys

Widzew Lodz

T S U U S

1–2

Full-time

Korona Kielce

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,31 xG 2,09

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

15 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Widzew Lodz 8. · Korona Kielce 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	4	3	1	0	+8	+3.9	10
2	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.3	7
3	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.8	6
4	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.6	6
5	Wisla	3	2	0	1	+1	+3.4	6
6	Zaglebie	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.6	6
7	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.8	6
8	Widzew Lodz	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.3	5
9	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
10	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.1	4
11	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
12	Wieczysta Krakow	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.5	3
13	Piast Gliwice	4	1	0	3	-5	-4.3	3
14	Radomiak Radom	4	1	0	3	-8	-2.4	3
15	Cracovia	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.1	2
16	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
17	Motor Lublin	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.3	1
18	Rakow	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.0	6
2	Zaglebie	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.0	6
3	Wisla	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.8	6
4	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.6	4
5	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.3	4
6	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
7	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.6	3
8	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
9	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
10	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	3
11	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
12	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
13	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
14	Wisla Plock	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
15	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
16	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.2	0
17	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
18	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
2	Legia	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
3	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
4	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
5	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.2	3
6	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Wieczysta Krakow	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
8	Wisla Plock	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
9	Cracovia	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.9	2
10	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.5	1
11	Wisla	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.6	0
12	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
13	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
14	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
15	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.2	0
16	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
17	Piast Gliwice	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.2	0
18	Radomiak Radom	2	0	0	2	-7	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.