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Allsvenskan
Referee: Erik Mattsson
2–0
Full-time
Degerfors
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brommapojkarna Degerfors
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
76%
53%
Both score Ø 65%
82%
47%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,05 xG 1,08
57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 0
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brommapojkarna 10. · Degerfors 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 18 13 3 2 +21 +10.6 42
2 Hammarby 17 10 3 4 +25 +16.4 33
3 Hacken 18 8 7 3 +6 +9.2 31
4 Elfsborg 18 7 7 4 +6 -1.1 28
5 AIK 17 8 4 5 +0 -10.9 28
6 Djurgarden 16 8 2 6 +15 +5.8 26
7 Malmo FF 17 8 2 7 +5 +3.1 26
8 Vasteras SK 18 7 5 6 -7 -1.4 26
9 GAIS 17 6 5 6 +5 +4.7 23
10 Brommapojkarna 17 5 6 6 -2 -5.4 21
11 Mjallby 16 5 5 6 +1 +1.7 20
12 Goteborg 18 5 5 8 -16 +0.0 20
13 Kalmar 18 5 4 9 -7 -1.2 19
14 Degerfors 17 4 4 9 -10 -8.2 16
15 Orgryte 18 3 5 10 -19 -10.2 14
16 Halmstad 18 1 5 12 -23 -13.3 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brommapojkarna Degerfors
Oliver Zandén 🟨
12′
M. Derbali 🔁
↦ O. Berg
25′
Half-time 0–0
L. Bjorklund 🔁
↦ K. Sever
63′
B. Amole 🔁
↦ O. Okeke
63′
70′
🔁 L. Fritzson
↦ E. Barsoum
A. Kurochkin 🔁
↦ W. Odefalk
77′
1–0 M. Hansen
81′
84′
🔁 K. Boutera
↦ A. Taranis
2–0 A. Kurochkin
O. Zanden
88′
89′
🔁 G. Yiriyon
↦ R. Dzabic
93′
🟨 Ahmad Faqa
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Brommapojkarna

4-4-2
1 L. Cavallius G
21 S. Strand D
23 J. Simpson D
3 A. Troelsen D
6 O. Zanden D
9 M. Hansen M
20 W. Odefalk M
27 K. Barslund M
7 O. Okeke M
14 K. Sever F
10 O. Berg F
Bench (9)
25 D. Blazevic
22 R. Bergvall
4 O. Cotton
30 L. Bjorklund
24 M. Derbali
5 S. Ngouali
32 A. Wahlund
17 A. Kurochkin
12 B. Amole

Coach: Ulf Kristiansson

Degerfors

5-3-2
38 M. Igonen G
16 S. Ohlsson D
3 N. Skuseth D
2 A. Faqa D
8 B. Hussein D
18 S. Diatara D
23 R. Dzabic M
22 N. Girmai M
20 E. Barsoum M
17 A. Taranis F
11 D. Vukojevic F
Bench (9)
1 W. Jakobsson
15 N. Moro
7 S. Ohlsson
12 E. Lindell
28 J. Hernandez
14 L. Fritzson
13 G. Yiriyon
19 A. Lindgren
9 K. Boutera

Coach: Henok Goitom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Erik Mattsson · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.