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Ligue 1
Referee: Bastien Dechepy
Rennes
S S T S T
2–2
Full-time
Paris SG
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,87 xG 2,16
31% Possession 69%
9 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 10
0 Offside 7
7 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +4 +1.7 3
2 Lens 1 1 0 0 +3 +2.6 3
3 Lille 1 1 0 0 +2 -0.8 3
4 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +2 -2.1 3
5 Monaco 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.8 3
6 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 -2.1 1
7 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 +2.1 1
8 Nice 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.2 1
9 Lorient 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.2 1
10 Troyes 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.4 1
11 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.4 1
12 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.8 0
13 Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.8 0
14 Toulouse 1 0 0 1 -2 +2.1 0
15 Auxerre 1 0 0 1 -3 -2.6 0
16 Strasbourg 1 0 0 1 -4 -1.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Paris SG
1–0 Sebastian Szymański
Adrien Thomasson
9′
2–0 Esteban Lepaul
Przemysław Frankowski
38′
Adrien Thomasson 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Mika Godts
↦ Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
46′
🔁 Ferran Torres
↦ Ousmane Dembélé
60′
🔁 Maghnes Akliouche
↦ Warren Zaïre-Emery
60′
🔁 Fabián Ruiz
↦ João Neves
Mousa Tamari 🟨
63′
69′
🔁 Lucas Beraldo
↦ Vitinha
71′
Ferran Torres 2–1
Fabián Ruiz
Ludovic Blas 🔁
↦ Mousa Tamari
72′
76′
🟨 Marquinhos
Henrick Do Marcolino 🔁
↦ Sebastian Szymański
78′
Quentin Merlin 🔁
↦ Mahamadou Nagida
78′
82′
Ferran Torres 2–2
Fabián Ruiz
84′
🟨 Achraf Hakimi
Bryan Reynolds 🔁
↦ Przemysław Frankowski
88′
Arnaud Nordin 🔁
↦ Issa Soumaré
88′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rennes

4-1-4-1
30 Brice Samba G
95 Przemysław Frankowski D
4 Charlie Cresswell D
48 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D
18 Mahamadou Nagida D
21 Valentin Rongier M
11 Mousa Tamari M
17 Sebastian Szymański M
28 Adrien Thomasson M
90 Issa Soumaré M
9 Esteban Lepaul F
Bench (9)
10 Ludovic Blas
26 Quentin Merlin
65 Henrick Do Marcolino
14 Bryan Reynolds
70 Arnaud Nordin
60 Kilian Belazzoug
24 Anthony Rouault
35 Elias Legendre Quiñonez Zae
12 Eliezer Mayenda

Coach: Franck Haise

Paris SG

4-3-3
39 Matvey Safonov G
2 Achraf Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 Willian Pacho D
21 Lucas Hernández D
33 Warren Zaïre-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
87 João Neves M
14 Désiré Doué F
10 Ousmane Dembélé F
7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (9)
9 Ferran Torres
22 Mika Godts
8 Fabián Ruiz
11 Maghnes Akliouche
4 Lucas Beraldo
30 Lucas Chevalier
12 Lucas Digne
6 Ilya Zabarnyi
27 Dro Fernández

Coach: Enrique Luis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,44
U ✓
4,57
B
1,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,41
U2,5
2,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bastien Dechepy · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.