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Serie B
Referee: Giuseppe Collu
Palermo
S T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Juve Stabia
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,21 xG 1,04
47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
21 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Vicenza 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.0 3
2 Ascoli 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.8 3
3 Modena 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
4 Mantova 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.3 3
5 Arezzo 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.8 3
6 Empoli 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
7 Padova 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.4 3
8 Sudtirol 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
9 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.0 0
10 Verona 1 0 0 1 -1 +1.8 0
11 Benevento 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
12 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.3 0
13 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.8 0
14 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
15 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.4 0
16 Virtus Entella 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Mar -26 Palermo – Juve Stabia 2–2 8. Nov -25 Juve Stabia – Palermo 1–0 17. May -25 Juve Stabia – Palermo 1–0 19. Jan -25 Palermo – Juve Stabia 1–0 14. Sep -24 Juve Stabia – Palermo 1–3

Match report

Palermo Juve Stabia
1–0 D. Johnsen ⚽
J. Pohjanpalo
4′
Half-time 1–0
Jacopo Segre 🟨
46′
Tommaso Cassandro 🟨
47′
Tommaso Augello 🟨
62′
N. Estevez 🔁
↦ F. Ranocchia
64′
G. Strefezza 🔁
↦ D. Vavassori
64′
67′
🔁 T. Douglas
↦ G. Scuderi
67′
🔁 N. Karic
↦ T. Battistella
P. Peda 🔁
↦ T. Cassandro
72′
75′
🔁 F. Artioli
↦ D. Buglio
75′
🔁 S. Fernandes
↦ K. Piscopo
E. Gyasi 🔁
↦ D. Johnsen
85′
J. Le Douaron 🔁
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
85′
85′
🔁 R. Sandrucci
↦ N. Patane
Emmanuel Gyasi 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Romeo Sandrucci
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Palermo

4-2-3-1
14 M. Fortin G
84 T. Cassandro D
13 M. Bani D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
3 T. Augello D
10 F. Ranocchia M
8 J. Segre M
9 D. Vavassori M
23 Hernani M
17 D. Johnsen M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (11)
63 N. Balaguss
12 M. Nespola
96 G. Magnani
29 P. Peda
93 F. Barba
33 A. Bozzolan
24 N. Estevez
6 C. Gomes
7 G. Strefezza
11 E. Gyasi
21 J. Le Douaron

Coach: Filippo Inzaghi

Juve Stabia

4-3-3
23 P. Boer G
2 M. Ricciardi D
87 D. Bettella D
6 M. Bellich D
73 G. Scuderi D
5 T. Battistella M
8 D. Buglio M
10 C. Pierobon M
7 N. Patane F
27 L. Candellone F
11 K. Piscopo F
Bench (12)
1 A. Vukovic
25 T. Douglas
96 T. Maggioni
19 N. Pietrangeli
4 M. Baldi
37 F. Maistro
80 F. Artioli
18 D. Perin
17 N. Karic
30 R. Sandrucci
20 L. Caccavo
77 S. Fernandes

Coach: Pietro De Giorgio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
🔒
U
3,59
🔒
B
5,31
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,98
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,75
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Giuseppe Collu · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.