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Allsvenskan
Referee: Oscar Johnson
1–2
Full-time
Malmo FF
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brommapojkarna Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
71%
71%
Both score Ø 75%
79%
71%
Average goals
2,9
3,7
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brommapojkarna 12. · Malmo FF 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 14 12 2 0 +23 +10.5 38
2 Hammarby 15 8 3 4 +18 +13.1 27
3 Hacken 15 6 7 2 +5 +6.7 25
4 Djurgarden 13 7 2 4 +12 +5.1 23
5 Vasteras SK 14 6 4 4 +1 -1.2 22
6 AIK 14 6 4 4 +0 -10.1 22
7 Elfsborg 15 5 6 4 +2 -1.1 21
8 Malmo FF 14 6 2 6 +4 +4.2 20
9 GAIS 15 5 5 5 +4 +3.6 20
10 Kalmar 15 5 3 7 -2 +2.0 18
11 Mjallby 14 4 5 5 +1 +2.8 17
12 Brommapojkarna 14 4 5 5 -3 -7.6 17
13 Goteborg 14 3 4 7 -16 +0.6 13
14 Degerfors 14 2 4 8 -12 -8.8 10
15 Orgryte 14 2 4 8 -19 -8.1 10
16 Halmstad 14 1 4 9 -18 -11.8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brommapojkarna Malmo FF
9′
Erik Botheim
penalty missed
32′
🔁 Busanello
↦ N. John
Mohamed Wael Derbali 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Bleon Kurtulus
51′
S. Haksabanovic 0–1
A. Hoog
58′
🟨 Jens Stryger Larsen
S. Ngouali 🔁
↦ M. Derbali
59′
63′
🟨 Andrej Đurić
K. Sever 🔁
↦ O. Okeke
71′
A. Kurochkin 🔁
↦ D. Isso
71′
73′
🔁 J. Karlsson
↦ J. Stryger
73′
🔁 T. Lundbergh
↦ A. Skogmar
73′
🔁 I. Assibu
↦ A. Hoog
1–1 K. Sever
A. Kurochkin
77′
82′
🟨 Busanello
L. Bjorklund 🔁
↦ O. Berg
84′
B. Amole 🔁
↦ S. Oppong
84′
84′
🔁 D. Garcia
↦ B. Kurtulus
86′
D. Garcia 1–2
S. Haksabanovic
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Sead Hakšabanović
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Brommapojkarna

4-2-3-1
1 L. Cavallius G
16 S. Strand D
23 J. Simpson D
3 A. Troelsen D
6 O. Zanden D
27 K. Barslund M
24 M. Derbali M
7 O. Okeke M
10 O. Berg M
33 S. Oppong M
34 D. Isso F
Bench (9)
25 D. Blazevic
30 L. Bjorklund
22 R. Bergvall
14 K. Sever
4 O. Cotton
5 S. Ngouali
11 R. Orqvist
17 A. Kurochkin
12 B. Amole

Coach: Ulf Kristiansson

Malmo FF

4-1-4-1
1 R. Olsen G
17 J. Stryger D
5 A. Djuric D
4 B. Kurtulus D
23 N. John D
7 O. Rosengren M
45 A. Hoog M
40 K. Busuladzic M
37 A. Skogmar M
29 S. Haksabanovic M
20 E. Botheim F
Bench (9)
27 J. Dahlin
42 V. Jeppsson
25 Busanello
2 J. Karlsson
9 D. Garcia
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen
28 J. Milosavljevic
47 T. Lundbergh
39 I. Assibu

Coach: Gaute Helstrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oscar Johnson · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.