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Ligue 1
Referee: Jeremie Pignard
Le Havre
U U U T S
0–1
Full-time
Monaco
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,60 xG 1,39
50% Possession 50%
15 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Le Havre Monaco
14′
Eric Dier 0–1
Nazinho
Amir Richardson 🟨
20′
Amir Richardson ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
26′
Fodé Doucouré 🟨
34′
Enzo Koffi 🔁
↦ Yanis Zouaoui
40′
Vincent Sasso 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
57′
🔁 Mika Biereth
↦ Paris Brunner
57′
🔁 Anis Soubeir
↦ Mamadou Coulibaly
64′
🟨 Aleksandr Golovin
66′
🟨 Vanderson
Josh Maja 🔁
↦ Ally Samatta
70′
Elias Jelert 🔁
↦ Fodé Doucouré
70′
Sota Nakamura 🔁
↦ Timothee Pembele
70′
80′
🔁 Ilane Touré
↦ Nazinho
81′
🔁 Oumar Konate
↦ Stanis Idumbo Muzambo
Kaito Mizuta 🔁
↦ Simon Ebonog
88′
89′
🔁 Thilo Kehrer
↦ Vanderson
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Le Havre

3-4-2-1
77 Lionel Mpasi Nzau G
32 Timothee Pembele D
15 Ayumu Seko D
23 Vincent Sasso D
13 Fodé Doucouré M
26 Simon Ebonog M
6 Junior Mwanga M
18 Yanis Zouaoui M
14 Rassoul Ndiaye F
7 Amir Richardson F
25 Ally Samatta F
Bench (9)
27 Enzo Koffi
12 Elias Jelert
30 Sota Nakamura
9 Josh Maja
17 Kaito Mizuta
99 Mory Diaw
33 Djibril Ouziad
78 Daren Mosengo
44 Ismail Bouneb

Coach: Didier Digard

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 Lukáš Hrádecký G
2 Vanderson D
72 Sadibou Sané D
15 Eric Dier D
20 Nazinho D
8 Lamine Camara M
6 Denis Zakaria M
28 Mamadou Coulibaly M
10 Aleksandr Golovin M
17 Stanis Idumbo Muzambo M
29 Paris Brunner F
Bench (9)
46 Anis Soubeir
14 Mika Biereth
49 Ilane Touré
42 Oumar Konate
5 Thilo Kehrer
16 Philipp Köhn
19 Pape Cabral
7 Mathys Detourbet
47 Safouane Benzahra

Coach: Luis Filipe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,64
U
3,82
B ✓
1,87
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jeremie Pignard · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.