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LaLiga2
Referee: Gonzalo Romero Freixas
Sp Gijon
T S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Burgos
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,83 xG 0,67
43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
15 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 15. · Burgos 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Las Palmas 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.4 6
2 Leganes 2 1 1 0 +1 -2.6 4
3 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +4 +2.8 3
4 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 -1.0 3
6 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.3 3
7 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.7 3
8 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.6 3
9 Cordoba 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.2 3
10 Sociedad B 2 1 0 1 +0 -2.0 3
11 Eibar 2 1 0 1 -1 +2.0 3
12 Cadiz 2 0 2 0 +0 +2.3 2
13 Celta B 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.0 1
14 Granada 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
15 Sp Gijon 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.2 1
16 Sabadell 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.2 1
17 Girona 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.6 1
18 Oviedo 2 0 1 1 -1 +2.7 1
19 Eldense 2 0 1 1 -3 -1.3 1
20 Albacete 2 0 0 2 -2 +0.8 0
21 Valladolid 2 0 0 2 -3 -1.4 0
22 Ceuta 2 0 0 2 -6 -2.8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Burgos
1–0 J. Otero
A. Cuenca
6′
32′
🟨 Grego Sierra
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 José Gragera
P. Garcia 🔁
↦ K. de la Fuente
61′
N. Martin 🔁
↦ M. Rodriguez
61′
61′
🔁 P. Galdames
↦ J. Llabres
62′
🔁 V. Mollejo
↦ I. Vilarrasa
68′
🔁 M. Exposito
↦ J. Gragera
68′
🔁 S. Lencina
↦ C. Sanchez
G. Campos 🔁
↦ C. Gelabert Pina
73′
77′
🔁 B. Martinez
↦ S. del Cerro
A. Sarco 🔁
↦ N. Iosifov
82′
C. Ferreres 🔁
↦ J. Otero
82′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
1 R. Yanez G
2 G. Rosas D
24 A. Dunabeitia D
15 P. Vazquez D
44 A. Cuenca D
11 K. de la Fuente M
14 A. Corredera M
8 M. Rodriguez M
20 N. Iosifov M
10 C. Gelabert Pina F
19 J. Otero F
Bench (12)
13 E. Arana
3 P. Garcia
26 I. Martinez
23 J. Saenz
4 E. Gularte
5 D. Sanchez
21 M. Loum
6 N. Martin
27 E. Prendes
16 A. Sarco
35 C. Ferreres
7 G. Campos

Coach: Nicolas Larcamon

Burgos

4-1-4-1
13 A. Cantero G
23 A. Dadie Izagirre D
6 S. Gonzalez D
8 G. Sierra D
3 I. Vilarrasa D
18 S. del Cerro M
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros M
20 J. Gragera M
16 C. Sanchez M
19 J. Llabres M
9 A. Fores F
Bench (12)
35 D. Gonzalez
1 B. Iribarne
22 B. Martinez
36 I. Martinez
4 P. Galdames
10 K. Appin
5 M. Exposito
17 M. Cantero
24 S. Lencina
11 V. Mollejo
21 F. Garcia
31 I. Ribas

Coach: Sergio Francisco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,52
U
2,98
B
2,80
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,36
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.