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Superligaen
Referee: Jacob Karlsen
Viborg
T S T U S
4–0
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
25%
100%
Both score Ø 46%
25%
67%
Average goals
1,3
4,3
Scored
0,8
3,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,19 xG 0,34
44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viborg 5. · FC Copenhagen 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 4 3 1 0 +5 +6.9 10
2 Brondby 4 3 1 0 +4 -1.0 10
3 Midtjylland 4 3 1 0 +3 +1.9 10
4 FC Copenhagen 3 3 0 0 +7 -0.1 9
5 Viborg 4 2 1 1 +1 +1.3 7
6 Horsens 5 2 1 2 -1 -4.5 7
7 Odense 5 1 1 3 -2 -1.0 4
8 Silkeborg 4 1 1 2 -2 -1.1 4
9 Randers FC 5 1 1 3 -4 -4.2 4
10 Aarhus 4 0 3 1 -1 +1.3 3
11 Lyngby 5 0 2 3 -4 +3.8 2
12 Sonderjyske 5 0 1 4 -6 -3.5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viborg FC Copenhagen
0–1 B. Meling
own goal
1′
1–1 D. Hanza
M. Sondergaard
8′
2–1 A. Beck
16′
31′
🟨 Birger Meling
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 M. Lopez
↦ B. Meling
46′
🔁 W. Clem
↦ A. Kral
63′
🟨 Robert
63′
🔁 J. Suzuki
↦ A. Sorensen
63′
🔁 V. Dadason
↦ M. Madsen
3–1 C. Nouck
D. Hanza
68′
A. Kleis-Kristoffersen 🔁
↦ D. Hanza
72′
B. Brahimi 🔁
↦ C. Nouck
72′
H. Bidstrup 🔁
↦ S. Kuzmic
76′
P. Keller 🔁
↦ M. Sondergaard
76′
77′
🔁 T. Maseko
↦ Robert
81′
🟨 William Clem
F. Damkjer 🔁
↦ A. Beck
85′
Full-time 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jacob Karlsen · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.