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Serie B

Referee: Juan Luca Sacchi

Cesena

T U U T T

1–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,49 xG 0,99

35% Possession 65%

7 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 3

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 12

1 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Vicenza	1	1	0	+1	+0.0	3
2	Ascoli	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	3
3	Modena	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	3
4	Mantova	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	3
5	Arezzo	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Empoli	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Padova	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	3
8	Sudtirol	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	3
9	Catanzaro	1	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
10	Verona	1	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
11	Benevento	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Carrarese	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
13	Avellino	1	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
14	Cremonese	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
15	Pisa	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
16	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Vicenza	1	1	0	+1	+0.0	3
2	Empoli	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	3
3	Sudtirol	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	3
4	Verona	1	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
5	Benevento	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
6	Carrarese	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
7	Avellino	1	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
8	Pisa	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ascoli	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	3
2	Modena	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	3
3	Mantova	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Arezzo	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	3
5	Padova	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Catanzaro	1	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
7	Cremonese	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
8	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.