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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Elche

U T S U U

0–5

Full-time

Barcelona

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,70 xG 4,38

46% Possession 54%

7 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

3 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
2	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.3	4
3	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
4	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
6	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Getafe	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.8	3
8	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.6	2
9	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
10	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
11	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
12	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
13	Vallecano	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
14	Santander	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.3	1
15	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
16	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
17	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
18	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
2	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
3	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
4	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
5	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
6	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
8	Vallecano	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
9	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
10	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
11	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
2	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
3	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.6	2
4	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
5	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
6	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
7	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
8	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
9	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
10	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
11	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0
12	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.