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Allsvenskan

Referee: Adam Ladeback

Degerfors

T S T T T

0–3

Full-time

Brommapojkarna

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Brommapojkarna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

25%

Points per game

1,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

58%

42%

Both score Ø 50%

58%

42%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

73% Possession 27%

13 Shots 10

0 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Degerfors 12. · Brommapojkarna 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	13	9	3	1	+16	+1.7	30
2	Hammarby	14	9	3	2	+16	+10.5	30
3	AIK	13	7	5	1	+6	+1.9	26
4	Elfsborg	12	8	1	3	+10	+5.8	25
5	Malmo FF	13	6	4	3	+9	+10.5	22
6	Goteborg	12	6	1	5	+0	+0.2	19
7	GAIS	12	4	6	2	+5	+5.1	18
8	Hacken	12	4	3	5	-4	-0.2	15
9	Djurgarden	12	4	3	5	-6	-3.9	15
10	Norrkoping	12	4	2	6	-3	-5.8	14
11	Sirius	13	3	4	6	-3	-5.4	13
12	Degerfors	12	4	1	7	-5	+0.7	13
13	Halmstad	13	4	1	8	-16	-7.5	13
14	Oster	13	3	3	7	-6	-8.4	12
15	Brommapojkarna	12	3	1	8	-6	+0.2	10
16	Varnamo	12	0	3	9	-13	-5.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	8	6	1	1	+11	+8.9	19
2	Mjallby	6	5	1	0	+9	+2.4	16
3	Elfsborg	7	5	1	1	+8	+2.1	16
4	Malmo FF	7	4	2	1	+8	+6.3	14
5	AIK	5	3	2	0	+4	+1.9	11
6	Halmstad	7	3	0	4	-8	-2.0	9
7	GAIS	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.7	8
8	Hacken	6	2	2	2	+0	+3.3	8
9	Sirius	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.9	7
10	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-1	+1.2	7
11	Norrkoping	7	2	1	4	-3	-1.4	7
12	Djurgarden	6	1	3	2	-2	-1.2	6
13	Oster	6	1	2	3	-3	-4.8	5
14	Degerfors	6	1	1	4	-6	-1.4	4
15	Brommapojkarna	6	1	0	5	-6	+0.3	3
16	Varnamo	6	0	2	4	-5	-2.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	8	4	3	1	+2	+0.0	15
2	Mjallby	7	4	2	1	+7	-0.7	14
3	Goteborg	6	4	0	2	+1	-1.0	12
4	Hammarby	6	3	2	1	+5	+1.5	11
5	GAIS	7	2	4	1	+3	+2.4	10
6	Elfsborg	5	3	0	2	+2	+3.7	9
7	Degerfors	6	3	0	3	+1	+2.1	9
8	Djurgarden	6	3	0	3	-4	-2.7	9
9	Malmo FF	6	2	2	2	+1	+4.2	8
10	Norrkoping	5	2	1	2	+0	-4.4	7
11	Brommapojkarna	6	2	1	3	+0	-0.1	7
12	Oster	7	2	1	4	-3	-3.6	7
13	Hacken	6	2	1	3	-4	-3.5	7
14	Sirius	7	1	3	3	-2	-4.5	6
15	Halmstad	6	1	1	4	-8	-5.5	4
16	Varnamo	6	0	1	5	-8	-2.9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.