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LaLiga2
Referee: Juan Gordillo
Eibar
S T S T T
1–0
Full-time
Valladolid
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,54 xG 0,46
42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 20. · Valladolid 21.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Las Palmas 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.4 6
2 Leganes 2 1 1 0 +1 -2.6 4
3 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +4 +2.8 3
4 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 -1.0 3
6 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.3 3
7 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.7 3
8 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.6 3
9 Cordoba 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.2 3
10 Sociedad B 2 1 0 1 +0 -2.0 3
11 Cadiz 2 0 2 0 +0 +2.3 2
12 Celta B 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.0 1
13 Granada 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
14 Sp Gijon 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.2 1
15 Sabadell 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.2 1
16 Girona 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.6 1
17 Oviedo 2 0 1 1 -1 +2.7 1
18 Eldense 2 0 1 1 -3 -1.3 1
19 Albacete 2 0 0 2 -2 +0.8 0
20 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -2 +1.0 0
21 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.3 0
22 Ceuta 2 0 0 2 -6 -2.8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Valladolid
A. Madariaga 🔁
↦ S. Alvarez
16′
34′
🟨 Thiago Ojeda
Half-time 0–0
I. Gil 🔁
↦ Pejino
46′
48′
🟨 Juanmi Latasa
50′
🟨 Kai de Rooij
Jon Guruzeta 🟨
57′
61′
🔁 A. Balboa
↦ T. Ojeda
61′
🔁 V. Fernandez
↦ K. de Rooij
1–0 A. Rodriguez
A. Madariaga
64′
Javier Marton 🔁
↦ J. Bautista
66′
A. Ares 🔁
↦ J. Guruzeta
66′
70′
🔁 R. van Duiven
↦ Y. Cabanzon
70′
🔁 A. Arnuncio
↦ J. Latasa
Anaitz Arbilla 🟨
72′
L. Nunez 🔁
↦ A. Garrido
78′
80′
🟨 Ivan Garriel Muñoz
83′
🔁 C. Clerc
↦ I. Garriel
Malcom Ares 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 J. Magunagoitia G
22 A. Rodriguez D
4 U. Elgezabal D
23 A. Arbilla D
24 J. Bernat D
30 A. Garrido M
6 S. Alvarez M
17 Pejino M
11 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia M
10 J. Guruzeta M
9 J. Bautista F
Bench (11)
1 L. Lopez
2 S. Cubero
15 J. Amador
18 M. Arana
21 I. Gil
28 L. Nunez
8 A. Madariaga
20 Javier Marton
7 A. Ares
32 C. Lumbreras
35 L. Sarasketa

Coach: Jokin Aranbarri

Valladolid

4-2-3-1
1 A. Aceves G
14 I. Alejo D
5 R. Martinez D
4 D. Torres D
27 I. Garriel D
8 T. Ojeda M
21 J. Ponceau M
11 Y. Cabanzon M
7 L. Chacon M
22 K. de Rooij M
9 J. Latasa F
Bench (12)
31 H. Wauthier
18 C. Clerc
2 Trilli
35 A. Galdeano
6 M. Lachuer
16 A. Balboa
15 P. Tomeo
28 D. Perez Guerrero
20 R. van Duiven
17 V. Barbera
30 V. Fernandez
19 A. Arnuncio

Coach: Fran Escriba

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,16
U
3,03
B
3,37
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.