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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Club Brugge
S U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,7
Scored
3,3
2,3
Conceded
0,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
0,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,76 xG 1,00
80% Possession 20%
15 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
3 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 4. · Cercle Brugge 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Charleroi 4 4 0 0 +6 +4.0 12
2 Waregem 3 2 1 0 +5 +1.9 7
3 Antwerp 3 2 1 0 +4 +2.2 7
4 Club Brugge 2 2 0 0 +6 +4.7 6
5 Gent 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.5 6
6 Standard 3 1 2 0 +2 +0.1 5
7 St. Gilloise 2 1 1 0 +4 +0.9 4
8 Lommel SK 3 1 1 1 +3 4
9 Lommel United 3 1 1 1 +3 -0.9 4
10 Genk 3 1 1 1 +0 +2.9 4
11 St Truiden 3 0 3 0 +0 -1.6 3
12 Anderlecht 2 1 0 1 +0 +2.9 3
13 Beveren 3 1 0 2 -4 -3.7 3
14 Cercle Brugge 2 0 2 0 +0 +1.0 2
15 Mechelen 3 0 1 2 -4 -0.9 1
16 RAAL La Louviere 3 0 0 3 -4 -3.0 0
17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 0 0 2 -5 -4.1 0
18 Kortrijk 2 0 0 2 -6 -2.9 0
19 Westerlo 4 0 0 4 -13 -4.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Cercle Brugge
1–0 N. Tresoldi
C. Forbs
38′
Half-time 1–0
64′
🔁 T. Adaramola
↦ G. Magnee
F. Lemarechal 🔁
↦ H. Vetlesen
70′
J. Virgili 🔁
↦ M. Diakhon
70′
74′
ℹ️ Makaya Ibrahima Diaby
VAR: Penalty cancelled
76′
🔁 K. Kouassi
↦ D. Vanzeir
77′
🔁 L. Michal
↦ S. Ngoura
80′
🟨 Makaya Ibrahima Diaby
87′
🔁 Erick Nunes
↦ V. Konate
87′
🔁 L. Agyekum
↦ L. Mondele
R. Vermant 🔁
↦ N. Tresoldi
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Sommer G
64 K. Sabbe D
3 Lee Han-Beom D
44 B. Mechele D
65 J. Seys D
8 F. Potts M
20 H. Vanaken M
9 C. Forbs M
10 H. Vetlesen M
67 M. Diakhon M
7 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (9)
29 N. Jackers
41 H. Siquet
58 J. Spileers
16 C. Tsawa
85 T. N. Koren
80 F. Lemarechal
17 R. Vermant
77 A. Vasovic
11 J. Virgili

Coach: Ivan Leko

Cercle Brugge

3-4-2-1
1 G. Coucke G
2 I. Diakite D
66 C. Ravych D
24 G. Kondo D
15 G. Magnee M
42 L. Mondele M
19 I. Diaby M
12 V. Konate M
13 D. Vanzeir F
71 V. Martens F
9 S. Ngoura F
Bench (9)
84 B. Langenbick
45 T. Adaramola
5 E. Kakou
33 R. Caicedo
10 L. Amani
8 Erick Nunes
6 L. Agyekum
41 K. Kouassi
22 L. Michal

Coach: Lars Friis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,26
U
5,78
B
8,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,29
U2,5 ✓
3,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.