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Super League

Referee: Desiree Grundbacher

Young Boys

S U S S U

4–2

Full-time

Vaduz

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Vaduz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

6,0

3,7

Scored

4,3

1,7

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

5,3

4,3

Scored

4,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,19 xG 1,64

41% Possession 59%

20 Shots 16

9 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Young Boys 3. · Vaduz 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.8	9
2	Basel	4	3	0	1	+3	+2.2	9
3	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+8	+3.8	7
4	St. Gallen	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.6	7
5	Sion	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.9	6
6	Lausanne	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
7	Luzern	4	1	1	2	-4	-2.7	4
8	Servette	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.6	3
9	Thun	3	1	0	2	-6	-4.1	3
10	Zurich	4	1	0	3	-6	-2.6	3
11	Grasshoppers	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.4	1
12	Vaduz	3	0	0	3	-3	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.5	6
2	Sion	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.4	6
3	St. Gallen	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.4	4
4	Young Boys	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
5	Basel	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
6	Zurich	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
7	Servette	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
8	Luzern	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.6	3
9	Lausanne	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
10	Vaduz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
11	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
12	Thun	1	0	0	1	-6	-2.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.1	6
2	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+6	+2.3	4
3	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.3	3
4	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Thun	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.3	3
6	Lausanne	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
7	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
8	Luzern	2	0	1	1	-3	-4.3	1
9	Servette	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
10	Vaduz	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.0	0
11	Sion	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
12	Zurich	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.