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Serie A
Referee: Luca Zufferli
Torino
T S T U S
1–2
Full-time
Milan
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,29 xG 2,15
41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Mar -26 Milan – Torino 3–2 8. Dec -25 Torino – Milan 2–3 22. Feb -25 Torino – Milan 2–1 17. Aug -24 Milan – Torino 2–2 18. May -24 Torino – Milan 3–1

Match report

Torino Milan
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Ruben Loftus-Cheek
56′
🔁 L. Modric
↦ R. Loftus-Cheek
56′
🔁 A. Rabiot
↦ A. Jashari
64′
⚽ A. Cisse 0–1
A. Rabiot
66′
🔁 D. Bartesaghi
↦ P. Estupinan
66′
🔁 A. Saelemaekers
↦ A. Cisse
66′
⚽ A. Rabiot 0–2
S. Chukwueze
N. Fortini 🔁
↦ M. Pedersen
70′
C. Adams 🔁
↦ C. Casadei
70′
A. Njie 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
70′
76′
🔁 M. Gabbia
↦ M. Gila
Z. Aboukhlal 🔁
↦ A. Cacciamani
81′
S. Kulenovic 🔁
↦ P. Comuzzo
85′
1–2 C. Adams ⚽
G. Gineitis
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-2-1
26 D. Mascardi G
23 S. Coco D
44 A. Ismajli D
15 P. Comuzzo D
16 M. Pedersen M
66 G. Gineitis M
28 K. Fitz-Jim M
77 A. Cacciamani M
10 N. Vlasic F
22 C. Casadei F
18 G. Simeone F
Bench (14)
76 L. Siviero
1 A. Paleari
3 C. Biraghi
21 A. Dembele
29 N. Fortini
25 M. Pellini
11 G. Oristanio
6 E. Ilkhan
79 A. Luongo
17 S. Kulenovic
7 Z. Aboukhlal
91 D. Zapata
19 C. Adams
92 A. Njie

Coach: Ignazio Abate

Milan

3-4-2-1
16 M. Maignan G
34 M. Gila D
5 K. De Winter D
31 S. Pavlovic D
21 S. Chukwueze M
80 Y. Musah M
30 A. Jashari M
2 P. Estupinan M
8 R. Loftus-Cheek F
70 A. Cisse F
9 G. Ramos F
Bench (14)
41 L. P. Bouyer
96 L. Torriani
33 D. Bartesaghi
46 M. Gabbia
13 S. Diawara
14 L. Modric
56 A. Saelemaekers
4 S. Ricci
42 F. Terracciano
22 D. Moreira
12 A. Rabiot
28 C. Comotto
73 F. Camarda
11 C. Pulisic

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,49
🔒
U
3,59
🔒
B ✓
1,76
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,92
🔒
U2,5
1,83
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Luca Zufferli · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.