Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

DFB-Pokal

Referee: F Prigan

Phönix Lübeck

2–4

Full-time

Paderborn

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Phönix Lübeck Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

5,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

4,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-3,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

37% Possession 63%

15 Shots 24

7 Shots on target 10

4 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 9

4 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	SSV Jeddeloh	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	MSV Duisburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Lüneburger SK Hansa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
42	Eintracht Trier	1	0	0	1	-6	0
43	Westfalia Rhynern	1	0	0	1	-6	0
44	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
45	Krieschow	1	0	0	1	-9	0
46	SC St. Tönis	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SSV Jeddeloh	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	MSV Duisburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Lüneburger SK Hansa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-4	0
15	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
19	Eintracht Trier	1	0	0	1	-6	0
20	Westfalia Rhynern	1	0	0	1	-6	0
21	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
22	Krieschow	1	0	0	1	-9	0
23	SC St. Tönis	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Phönix Lübeck Paderborn

22′

⚽ J. ter Horst 0–1

M. Hansen

36′

🟨 Raphael Obermair

41′

⚽ S. Castaneda 0–2

L. Ulrich

1–2 M. Kretzer ⚽

43′

Half-time 1–2

J. Markvoort Beke 🔁

↦ K. Skolik

46′

🔁 C. Lippmann

↦ R. Obermair

46′

🔁 O. Batista Meier

↦ A. Millgramm

61′

⚽ S. Marino 1–3

J. Boccaccio 🔁

↦ O. Rahimic

66′

O. Touray 🔁

↦ A. Ihde

66′

Fabio Maiolo 🟨

68′

71′

⚽ G. Vidovic 1–4

O. Batista Meier

J. J. Kliti 🔁

↦ M. Kretzer

72′

🔁 S. Tigges

↦ S. Marino

M. Fernandes 🔁

↦ J. Stover

73′

🔁 D. Zeitler

↦ G. Vidovic

75′

🟨 Markus Schubert

1–5 T. Scheller ⚽

own goal

75′

77′

🔁 J. Sticker

↦ M. Hansen

Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Phönix Lübeck

4-3-3

1 T. Kips G

28 J. Farr D

3 J. Vollert D

22 P. Markvoort

30 D. Haritonov

14 M. Kretzer M

8 F. Maiolo

18 O. Rahimic M

11 A. Ihde

23 K. Skolik F

10 J. Stover

Bench (9)

32 C. Barkmann

24 B. Luis

7 J. J. Kliti

4 K. Huneburg

6 M. Dammeier

19 J. Boccaccio

17 M. Fernandes

80 O. Touray

13 J. Markvoort Beke

Coach: Kevin Wolk

Paderborn

3-4-2-1

M. Schubert G

J. ter Horst D

T. Scheller D

M. Hansen D

L. Curda M

L. Ulrich M

S. Castaneda M

R. Obermair M

A. Millgramm F

G. Vidovic F

S. Marino F

Bench (9)

15 N. Noll

3 J. Sticker

29 C. Lippmann

24 N. Mohr

6 T. Baack

7 O. Batista Meier

8 L. Djuric

27 S. Tigges

38 D. Zeitler

Coach: Ralf Kettemann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

17. Aug POK 2 years ago

Referee

F Prigan · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,0 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

22,9 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Phönix Lübeck

Paderborn

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee