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Allsvenskan
Referee: Joakim Ostling
3–1
Full-time
Orgryte
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brommapojkarna Orgryte
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 22%
25%
19%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
75%
56%
Both score Ø 66%
81%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,6
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,6
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,40 xG 1,29
57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brommapojkarna 13. · Orgryte 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 17 13 3 1 +24 +11.5 42
2 Hammarby 16 9 3 4 +21 +13.1 30
3 Elfsborg 17 7 6 4 +6 -1.1 27
4 Djurgarden 15 8 2 5 +17 +5.1 26
5 Hacken 16 6 7 3 +2 +6.7 25
6 AIK 16 7 4 5 -2 -10.1 25
7 Vasteras SK 17 7 4 6 -7 -1.2 25
8 GAIS 16 6 5 5 +6 +3.6 23
9 Malmo FF 16 7 2 7 +4 +4.2 23
10 Mjallby 16 5 5 6 +1 +1.7 20
11 Goteborg 16 5 4 7 -13 +0.6 19
12 Kalmar 16 5 3 8 -3 +2.0 18
13 Brommapojkarna 16 4 6 6 -4 -7.6 18
14 Degerfors 16 3 4 9 -13 -8.8 13
15 Orgryte 16 3 4 9 -17 -8.1 13
16 Halmstad 16 1 4 11 -22 -11.8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brommapojkarna Orgryte
1–0 M. Hansen
O. Berg
28′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Ebietomere
↦ W. Hofvander
59′
B. Laturnus 1–1
1–2 H. Gustafsson
own goal
63′
S. Ngouali 🔁
↦ W. Odefalk
68′
68′
🔁 J. Hammar
↦ S. Lagerlund
68′
🔁 A. Andreasson
↦ M. Parker
68′
🔁 J. Tibbling
↦ O. Parker-Price
73′
🟨 Jerome Tibbling Ugwo
L. Bjorklund 🔁
↦ O. Berg
80′
A. Kurochkin 🔁
↦ O. Okeke
80′
80′
🔁 W. Kenndal
↦ A. Andersson
86′
🟨 William Kenndal
O. Cotton 🔁
↦ K. Barslund
87′
M. Derbali 🔁
↦ K. Sever
87′
2–2 L. Bjorklund
M. Hansen
87′
93′
🟨 Marlon Ebietomere
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Brommapojkarna

4-2-3-1
25 D. Blazevic G
16 S. Strand D
23 J. Simpson D
3 A. Troelsen D
6 O. Zanden D
20 W. Odefalk M
27 K. Barslund M
9 M. Hansen M
10 O. Berg M
7 O. Okeke M
14 K. Sever F
Bench (9)
40 J. Lacayo
26 B. Apiiga
22 R. Bergvall
4 O. Cotton
30 L. Bjorklund
24 M. Derbali
5 S. Ngouali
17 A. Kurochkin
12 B. Amole

Coach: Ulf Kristiansson

Orgryte

3-4-3
44 H. Gustafsson G
33 S. Lagerlund D
6 M. Dyrestam D
5 C. Styffe D
18 A. Andersson M
23 O. Parker-Price M
8 B. Laturnus M
2 M. Parker M
17 W. Hofvander F
11 N. Christoffersson F
22 T. Sana F
Bench (9)
34 A. Rahm
3 J. Azulay
25 J. Hammar
16 H. Dahlqvist
21 W. Kenndal
19 A. Andreasson
7 C. Vindehall
15 J. Tibbling
29 M. Ebietomere

Coach: Andreas Holmberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Joakim Ostling · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.