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Allsvenskan

Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim

Degerfors

U U T U T

2–2

Full-time

Brommapojkarna

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Brommapojkarna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 33%

22%

44%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

56%

78%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,17 xG 2,15

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Degerfors 13. · Brommapojkarna 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	10	9	1	0	+17	+7.7	28
2	Elfsborg	11	4	6	1	+5	+1.8	18
3	Hammarby	10	5	2	3	+12	+6.9	17
4	Hacken	9	4	5	0	+5	+3.3	17
5	GAIS	11	4	3	4	+5	+1.0	15
6	Mjallby	10	4	3	3	+3	-1.9	15
7	Brommapojkarna	9	4	2	3	-1	-1.1	14
8	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+6	+3.3	13
9	Malmo FF	10	4	1	5	+0	-0.7	13
10	Vasteras SK	9	3	3	3	-4	-5.2	12
11	AIK	10	3	3	4	-4	-3.7	12
12	Kalmar	10	3	1	6	-4	+2.6	10
13	Degerfors	9	2	3	4	-4	-2.1	9
14	Goteborg	9	1	4	4	-10	-1.0	7
15	Halmstad	10	1	3	6	-11	-4.9	6
16	Orgryte	10	1	3	6	-15	-5.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	5	5	0	0	+9	+5.9	15
2	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+15	+7.0	13
3	Elfsborg	6	3	3	0	+5	+1.4	12
4	GAIS	6	3	2	1	+8	+0.5	11
5	Kalmar	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.1	10
6	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.3	8
7	Djurgarden	6	2	1	3	+4	+1.2	7
8	Malmo FF	5	2	0	3	+2	+2.8	6
9	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+2	-1.1	6
10	AIK	5	2	0	3	-4	-2.1	6
11	Halmstad	5	1	2	2	-3	-2.2	5
12	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
13	Degerfors	5	1	1	3	-6	-2.4	4
14	Vasteras SK	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.3	3
15	Orgryte	5	0	3	2	-2	-0.4	3
16	Goteborg	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.0	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	5	4	1	0	+8	+1.8	13
2	Brommapojkarna	6	3	1	2	-1	+0.7	10
3	Hacken	5	2	3	0	+3	+1.0	9
4	Mjallby	6	2	3	1	+1	-0.8	9
5	Vasteras SK	5	3	0	2	-3	-4.9	9
6	Malmo FF	5	2	1	2	-2	-3.5	7
7	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.1	6
8	Elfsborg	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.4	6
9	AIK	5	1	3	1	+0	-1.5	6
10	Degerfors	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.3	5
11	Goteborg	5	1	2	2	-7	-1.0	5
12	GAIS	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.6	4
13	Hammarby	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.1	4
14	Orgryte	5	1	0	4	-13	-5.5	3
15	Halmstad	5	0	1	4	-8	-2.7	1
16	Kalmar	5	0	0	5	-7	+1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.