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Süper Lig
Referee: A D Kayatepe
Alanyaspor
T U S T U
1–0
Full-time
Besiktas
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,54 xG 0,74
35% Possession 65%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 13. · Besiktas 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 2 1 1 0 +4 +4.9 4
2 Samsunspor 2 1 1 0 +2 -0.4 4
3 Trabzonspor 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.7 4
4 Gaziantep 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.7 4
5 Kasimpasa 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.2 4
6 Amedspor 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.3 3
7 Fenerbahce 2 1 0 1 +1 +1.9 3
8 Buyuksehyr 2 1 0 1 +1 +1.2 3
9 Genclerbirligi 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.7 3
10 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.2 3
11 Rizespor 2 1 0 1 -1 +2.4 3
12 Goztep 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.1 1
13 Alanyaspor 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.0 1
14 Corum 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.5 1
15 Eyüpspor 2 0 0 2 -2 -1.9 0
16 Kocaelispor 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.5 0
17 Konyaspor 2 0 0 2 -3 -1.1 0
18 Erzurumspor 2 0 0 2 -7 -3.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Besiktas
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Olaitan
↦ S. Ozcan
57′
🔁 K. Ouattara
↦ R. Yilmaz
57′
🔁 D. Vlahovic
↦ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
E. Keskin 🔁
↦ I. Kaya
65′
M. Elia 🔁
↦ Hwang Ui-Jo
65′
O. Ben Ali 🔁
↦ A. Usluoglu
65′
66′
🔁 I. Fakili
↦ L. Trossard
1–0 N. Lima ⚽
F. Hadergjonaj
73′
82′
🔁 M. Murillo
↦ T. Bulut
Y. Ozdemir 🔁
↦ Ruan
86′
B. Ozyurt 🔁
↦ N. Lima
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

3-4-3
48 Paulo Victor G
3 N. Lima D
5 F. Aliti D
50 U. Akdag D
94 F. Hadergjonaj M
42 G. Makouta M
55 B. Gezek M
11 Ruan M
16 Hwang Ui-Jo F
17 A. Usluoglu F
7 I. Kaya F
Bench (10)
23 M. Bayram
4 B. Ozyurt
20 F. Aksoy
10 I. Hagi
8 E. Keskin
26 I. Celik
88 Y. Ozdemir
19 Bikoue
12 M. Elia
9 O. Ben Ali

Coach: Joao Pereira

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
1 A. Nubel G
22 T. Bulut D
12 E. Agbadou D
53 E. Topcu D
33 R. Yilmaz D
6 S. Ozcan M
18 V. Cerny M
4 W. Ndidi M
10 O. Kokcu M
19 L. Trossard M
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu F
Bench (10)
80 D. Alemdar
62 M. Murillo
35 T. Djalo
11 K. Ouattara
15 J. Olaitan
8 K. Kayra Yilmaz
7 M. Rashica
28 D. Vlahovic
90 S. Kilicsoy
29 I. Fakili

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,62
U
3,58
B
1,88
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A D Kayatepe · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.