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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Getafe

S T S T S

1–0

Full-time

Santander

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Santander

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,2

4,2

Scored

1,2

2,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

3,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,24 xG 1,31

43% Possession 57%

12 Shots 6

1 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

8 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Getafe 17. · Santander 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
2	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.3	4
3	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
4	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
6	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.6	2
8	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
10	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
11	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
12	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
13	Vallecano	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
14	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
15	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
16	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
17	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0
18	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
2	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
3	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
4	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
5	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
6	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
7	Vallecano	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
8	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
9	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
10	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
2	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
3	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.6	2
4	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
5	Elche	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
6	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
7	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
8	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
9	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
10	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0
11	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.