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DFB-Pokal
Referee: S Storks
Braunschweig
T S T S T
2–4
Full-time
Union Berlin
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Braunschweig Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
16 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 10
4 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +11 3
2 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 SSV Jeddeloh 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Werder Bremen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Elversberg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Bochum 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Waldhof Mannheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 MSV Duisburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 TSV 1860 Munich 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Heidenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
28 Lüneburger SK Hansa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
29 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -4 0
30 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
31 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
32 Eintracht Trier 1 0 0 1 -6 0
33 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
34 SC St. Tönis 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Braunschweig Union Berlin
1–0 M. Marie
M. Entrup
11′
31′
Z. Van Den Bosch 1–1
J. Juranovic
Half-time 1–1
53′
🟨 Aljoscha Kemlein
2–1 M. Marie
M. Entrup
54′
62′
🔁 A. Schafer
↦ Jeong Woo-Yeong
62′
🔁 M. Ljubicic
↦ E. Latte Lath
63′
T. Rothe 2–2
M. Ljubicic
72′
M. Ljubicic 2–3
F. Di Michele Sanchez 🔁
↦ N. Katterbach
73′
J. Urbich 🔁
↦ M. Entrup
73′
74′
🔁 C. Trimmel
↦ J. Juranovic
74′
🔁 M. Aebischer
↦ L. Burcu
L. Tempelmann 🔁
↦ S. Di Benedetto
77′
Y. Sturm 🔁
↦ A. Opoku
77′
85′
🟨 Zeno Van Den Bosch
Mehmet Aydın 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Michel Aebischer
90′
M. Ljubicic 2–4
A. Hoti 🔁
↦ Junior Ze
91′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Braunschweig

4-2-3-1
1 R. Hoffmann G
8 M. Aydin D
21 K. Ehlers D
29 L. Frenkert D
3 N. Katterbach D
6 F. Flick M
10 S. Di Benedetto M
19 Junior Ze M
15 M. Marie M
17 A. Opoku M
9 M. Entrup F
Bench (9)
32 B. Uphoff
4 A. Hoti
22 F. Di Michele Sanchez
16 L. Breunig
20 L. Tempelmann
26 T. Wagner
27 J. Urbich
44 J. Gomez
7 Y. Sturm

Coach: Lars Kornetka

Union Berlin

4-4-2
31 M. Raab G
18 J. Juranovic D
14 L. Querfeld D
4 Z. Van Den Bosch D
15 T. Rothe D
11 Jeong Woo-Yeong M
8 R. Khedira M
6 A. Kemlein M
9 L. Burcu M
29 E. Latte Lath F
10 I. Ansah F
Bench (9)
25 C. Klaus
28 C. Trimmel
17 D. Kohn
41 O. Ogbemudia
20 M. Aebischer
13 A. Schafer
19 J. Haberer
21 T. Skarke
27 M. Ljubicic

Coach: Mauro Lustrinelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.