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Superligaen

Referee: Morten Krogh

Sonderjyske

T T T U T

0–3

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,0

2,7

Conceded

1,8

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+2,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,28 xG 1,97

38% Possession 62%

10 Shots 25

5 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sonderjyske 12. · Nordsjaelland 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	4	3	1	0	+4	-1.0	10
2	FC Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+7	-0.1	9
3	Midtjylland	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.6	7
4	Nordsjaelland	3	2	1	0	+2	+6.2	7
5	Viborg	4	2	1	1	+1	+1.3	7
6	Horsens	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.4	4
7	Silkeborg	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.1	4
8	Randers FC	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.9	4
9	Odense	4	1	0	3	-2	+0.1	3
10	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.3	2
11	Lyngby	4	0	2	2	-3	+1.7	2
12	Sonderjyske	4	0	1	3	-3	-2.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.4	6
2	Viborg	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.7	6
3	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+2	+5.1	6
4	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.3	4
5	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
6	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
7	Odense	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	3
8	Silkeborg	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.9	3
9	Lyngby	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.9	2
10	Aarhus	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Sonderjyske	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
12	Horsens	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+6	+0.7	6
2	Brondby	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.6	4
3	Midtjylland	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
4	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.1	3
5	Nordsjaelland	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
6	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
7	Silkeborg	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
8	Viborg	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.0	1
9	Randers FC	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.6	0
10	Sonderjyske	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.2	0
11	Odense	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.1	0
12	Lyngby	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.