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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

Nordsjaelland

S T T S S

2–1

Full-time

Sonderjyske

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Sonderjyske

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

4,5

3,3

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 44%

44%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 50%

39%

61%

Average goals

3,4

3,1

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

13 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nordsjaelland 8. · Sonderjyske 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	18	12	4	2	+18	+13.4	40
2	Midtjylland	18	10	6	2	+27	+5.1	36
3	Brondby	18	10	1	7	+10	+9.2	31
4	Sonderjyske	18	8	5	5	+5	-2.7	29
5	FC Copenhagen	18	8	4	6	+4	+14.2	28
6	Odense	18	7	5	6	-5	+5.3	26
7	Viborg	18	7	3	8	+2	-2.8	24
8	Nordsjaelland	18	8	0	10	-3	-1.8	24
9	Randers FC	18	5	4	9	-7	+3.2	19
10	Silkeborg	18	5	4	9	-14	-13.5	19
11	Fredericia	18	4	2	12	-22	-17.8	14
12	Vejle	18	3	4	11	-15	-11.8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	9	6	3	0	+19	+8.0	21
2	Aarhus	9	6	1	2	+8	+13.4	19
3	Sonderjyske	9	5	2	2	+6	+0.8	17
4	Brondby	9	5	1	3	+5	+5.1	16
5	Nordsjaelland	9	5	0	4	+7	+5.4	15
6	Odense	9	4	2	3	-1	+5.4	14
7	Viborg	9	4	1	4	+2	-3.5	13
8	FC Copenhagen	9	3	4	2	+1	+9.8	13
9	Vejle	9	3	2	4	+0	-3.2	11
10	Silkeborg	9	3	2	4	-3	-2.2	11
11	Randers FC	9	3	2	4	-4	-0.1	11
12	Fredericia	9	2	1	6	-12	-7.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	9	6	3	0	+10	+0.0	21
2	Midtjylland	9	4	3	2	+8	-3.0	15
3	Brondby	9	5	0	4	+5	+4.2	15
4	FC Copenhagen	9	5	0	4	+3	+4.3	15
5	Sonderjyske	9	3	3	3	-1	-3.5	12
6	Odense	9	3	3	3	-4	-0.1	12
7	Viborg	9	3	2	4	+0	+0.7	11
8	Nordsjaelland	9	3	0	6	-10	-7.2	9
9	Randers FC	9	2	2	5	-3	+3.3	8
10	Silkeborg	9	2	2	5	-11	-11.3	8
11	Fredericia	9	2	1	6	-10	-10.5	7
12	Vejle	9	0	2	7	-15	-8.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.