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Superligaen

Referee: M Krogh

Sonderjyske

T S S U T

3–2

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,3

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

3,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,85 xG 2,22

32% Possession 68%

5 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sonderjyske 10. · Nordsjaelland 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.4	9
2	Brondby	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
3	Midtjylland	2	1	1	0	+4	+1.2	4
4	Vejle	3	1	1	1	+2	-1.4	4
5	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.3	4
6	Odense	3	1	1	1	-2	+0.7	4
7	Nordsjaelland	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
8	Fredericia	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.8	3
9	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
10	Sonderjyske	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.6	1
11	Viborg	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.6	0
12	Silkeborg	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	2	1	1	0	+4	+1.2	4
2	Vejle	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.2	4
3	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
4	Odense	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
5	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
6	Sonderjyske	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.8	1
7	Viborg	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
8	Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
9	Nordsjaelland	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
10	Silkeborg	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
11	Fredericia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.8	6
2	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.3	4
3	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
4	Nordsjaelland	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
5	Brondby	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Aarhus	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
7	Odense	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.3	1
8	Viborg	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
9	Vejle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0
10	Silkeborg	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
11	Sonderjyske	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.