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Conference League
Referee: E Malcevs
Nordsjaelland
T U S S S
5–0
Full-time
Valur Reykjavik
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Valur Reykjavik
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

66% Possession 34%
34 Shots 7
14 Shots on target 2
10 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Aug -26 Valur Reykjavik – Nordsjaelland 0–2

Match report

Nordsjaelland Valur Reykjavik
1–0 H. Rasmussen ⚽
P. Amoako
5′
41′
ℹ️ Samúel Kári Friðjónsson
VAR: Penalty cancelled
2–0 V. Berthelsen ⚽
J. Lahteenmaki
45′
Half-time 2–0
M. Tuka 🔁
↦ P. Ankersen
46′
M. Walker 🔁
↦ J. Lahteenmaki
46′
47′
🟨 Hörður Ingi Gunnarsson
59′
🟨 Markus Nakkim
L. Sadio 🔁
↦ H. Rasmussen
60′
J. Janssen 🔁
↦ N. Rojkjaer
60′
60′
🔁 I. Stole
↦ B. Heimisson
60′
🔁 P. Pedersen
↦ M. Nakkim
60′
🔁 S. Veseli
↦ J. Palsson
60′
🔁 D. Gardarson
↦ H. Gunnarsson
3–0 M. Walker ⚽
62′
69′
🔁 B. Antonsson
↦ J. Jonsson
L. Nene 🔁
↦ P. Amoako
71′
4–0 L. Sadio ⚽
V. Berthelsen
71′
5–0 L. Nene ⚽
L. Sadio
74′
79′
🟨 Shkelzen Veseli
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

3-4-3
13 A. Hansen G
2 P. Ankersen D
15 S. Acquah D
4 N. Markmann D
32 V. Gustafsen M
6 M. Brink M
8 N. Rojkjaer M
25 J. Lahteenmaki M
40 H. Rasmussen
29 V. Berthelsen F
10 P. Amoako F
Bench (12)
31 A. Sondenbroe
48 C. Kristoffersen
3 T. Salquist
42 M. Tuka
35 V. Rutkjaer
23 R. Norheim
28 M. Walker
37 L. Sadio
18 J. Janssen
39 D. Johannesson
49 W. Faber
17 L. Nene

Coach: Jens Olsen

Valur Reykjavik

4-3-3
18 F. Schram G
21 J. Palsson D
4 M. Nakkim D
15 H. Eyjolfsson D
3 H. Gunnarsson D
24 M. Veldman
28 S. Fridjonsson M
22 B. Heimisson M
8 J. Jonsson F
12 T. Haraldsson F
17 L. Heimisson F
Bench (9)
25 S. Agustsson
95 T. Petersson
11 I. Stole
9 P. Pedersen
6 B. Antonsson
29 S. Veseli
5 K. Arnarsson
19 D. Gardarson
14 A. Skoglund

Coach: Christopher Brazell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.