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Conference League
Referee: G Bogar
Valur Reykjavik
S U T S U
0–2
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valur Reykjavik Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
6 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Valur Reykjavik Nordsjaelland
30′
⚽ V. Berthelsen 0–1
I. Adel
Half-time 0–1
53′
🔁 M. Brink
↦ M. Heyde
66′
🔁 P. Amoako
↦ V. Berthelsen
H. Gunnarsson 🔁
↦ B. Heimisson
67′
I. Stole 🔁
↦ D. Gardarson
67′
67′
🔁 N. Rojkjaer
↦ S. Acquah
77′
ℹ️ Prince Amoako Junior
VAR: Penalty confirmed
78′
⚽ N. Rojkjaer 0–2
P. Pedersen 🔁
↦ J. Jonsson
79′
B. Antonsson 🔁
↦ A. Skoglund
79′
K. Arnarsson 🔁
↦ L. Heimisson
79′
Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson 🟨
83′
83′
🔁 N. Markmann
↦ J. Lahteenmaki
84′
🔁 L. Nene
↦ I. Adel
88′
🟨 Justin Janssen
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Valur Reykjavik

5-4-1
18 F. Schram G
22 B. Heimisson D
4 M. Nakkim D
15 H. Eyjolfsson D
28 S. Fridjonsson D
24 M. Veldman
8 J. Jonsson M
14 A. Skoglund M
12 T. Haraldsson M
17 L. Heimisson M
19 D. Gardarson F
Bench (10)
25 S. Agustsson
95 T. Petersson
9 P. Pedersen
3 H. Gunnarsson
11 I. Stole
6 B. Antonsson
21 J. Palsson
29 S. Veseli
5 K. Arnarsson
26 E. Sigurbjornsson

Coach: Christopher Brazell

Nordsjaelland

3-4-3
13 A. Hansen G
2 P. Ankersen D
3 T. Salquist D
15 S. Acquah D
23 R. Norheim M
18 J. Janssen M
47 M. Heyde M
25 J. Lahteenmaki M
40 H. Rasmussen
29 V. Berthelsen F
14 I. Adel F
Bench (11)
31 A. Sondenbroe
48 C. Kristoffersen
39 D. Johannesson
32 V. Gustafsen
6 M. Brink
8 N. Rojkjaer
4 N. Markmann
37 L. Sadio
28 M. Walker
17 L. Nene
10 P. Amoako

Coach: Jens Olsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Bogar · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.