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Superligaen

Referee: M Tykgaard

Brondby

U U T T U

1–2

Full-time

Midtjylland

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

4,0

Scored

1,7

2,7

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 49%

40%

57%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 62%

60%

63%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,71 xG 1,10

62% Possession 38%

24 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 5

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 4. · Midtjylland 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	31	17	9	5	+24	+14.1	60
2	Midtjylland	30	17	5	8	+20	+6.9	56
3	Silkeborg	31	13	10	8	+16	+6.8	49
4	Brondby	30	12	12	6	+12	+8.0	48
5	Randers FC	31	13	9	9	+8	+4.6	48
6	Nordsjaelland	31	13	7	11	+0	+7.2	46
7	Viborg	31	11	11	9	+6	-1.9	44
8	Aarhus	31	10	10	11	+8	+9.7	40
9	Sonderjyske	31	9	7	15	-18	-14.1	34
10	Vejle	31	7	7	17	-26	-13.6	28
11	Lyngby	31	4	12	15	-19	-6.4	24
12	Aalborg	31	5	9	17	-31	-21.2	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	15	13	0	2	+18	+7.5	39
2	Nordsjaelland	16	10	5	1	+17	+7.4	35
3	FC Copenhagen	15	9	5	1	+13	+10.2	32
4	Viborg	16	9	3	4	+6	-1.6	30
5	Randers FC	16	8	4	4	+7	+4.8	28
6	Aarhus	15	7	6	2	+14	+10.9	27
7	Brondby	15	7	6	2	+7	+6.1	27
8	Silkeborg	15	7	5	3	+8	+3.3	26
9	Sonderjyske	16	5	5	6	-8	-10.3	20
10	Lyngby	15	3	6	6	-6	+0.6	15
11	Vejle	15	3	5	7	-12	-2.2	14
12	Aalborg	16	3	4	9	-16	-10.5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	16	8	4	4	+11	+3.9	28
2	Silkeborg	16	6	5	5	+8	+3.5	23
3	Brondby	15	5	6	4	+5	+1.9	21
4	Randers FC	15	5	5	5	+1	-0.2	20
5	Midtjylland	15	4	5	6	+2	-0.6	17
6	Viborg	15	2	8	5	+0	-0.3	14
7	Sonderjyske	15	4	2	9	-10	-3.8	14
8	Vejle	16	4	2	10	-14	-11.4	14
9	Aarhus	16	3	4	9	-6	-1.2	13
10	Aalborg	15	2	5	8	-15	-10.7	11
11	Nordsjaelland	15	3	2	10	-17	-0.2	11
12	Lyngby	16	1	6	9	-13	-7.1	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.